Trader sentiment on H100 rental prices at end-September centers on persistent supply tightness from HBM3e shortages and NVIDIA’s wafer shift toward Blackwell, offset by growing neocloud capacity that has already compressed hyperscaler premiums. Current on-demand rates span roughly $1.99–$3.37 median across marketplaces and specialist providers, with hyperscalers still 80–100% higher; spot and reserved tiers trade lower. Key swing factors include any fresh Blackwell deployments freeing Hopper nodes, inference demand growth from open models, and regional power or CoWoS constraints that limit new clusters. The tight clustering around $2.25–$2.75 reflects uncertainty over whether near-term capacity additions or sustained AI workloads will dominate the final month.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$2.50-$2.75 24%
$2.25-$2.50 19%
$2.75-$3.00 19%
$3.25+ 13.5%
$22,665 Vol.
$22,665 Vol.
<$2.25
7%
$2.25-$2.50
19%
$2.50-$2.75
24%
$2.75-$3.00
19%
$3.00-$3.25
11%
$3.25+
13%
$2.50-$2.75 24%
$2.25-$2.50 19%
$2.75-$3.00 19%
$3.25+ 13.5%
$22,665 Vol.
$22,665 Vol.
<$2.25
7%
$2.25-$2.50
19%
$2.50-$2.75
24%
$2.75-$3.00
19%
$3.00-$3.25
11%
$3.25+
13%
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 30, 2026, 11:28 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://dashboard.ornnai.com/computeResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://dashboard.ornnai.com/computeResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on H100 rental prices at end-September centers on persistent supply tightness from HBM3e shortages and NVIDIA’s wafer shift toward Blackwell, offset by growing neocloud capacity that has already compressed hyperscaler premiums. Current on-demand rates span roughly $1.99–$3.37 median across marketplaces and specialist providers, with hyperscalers still 80–100% higher; spot and reserved tiers trade lower. Key swing factors include any fresh Blackwell deployments freeing Hopper nodes, inference demand growth from open models, and regional power or CoWoS constraints that limit new clusters. The tight clustering around $2.25–$2.75 reflects uncertainty over whether near-term capacity additions or sustained AI workloads will dominate the final month.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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