**Current H100 on-demand rental rates cluster around $2–$3.50 per GPU-hour in marketplace and neocloud segments, with medians near $3.25–$3.32 and spot capacity dipping below $2, reflecting a post-2025 rebound of roughly 12% over the past quarter.** Persistent AI inference demand continues to absorb Hopper capacity even as Blackwell (B200/GB200) volumes ramp, while hyperscaler premiums remain elevated at $6–$12 due to managed services and scarcity. Key swing factors include the speed of Blackwell displacement versus memory (HBM) and packaging constraints that limit new supply, plus any late-year demand spikes from model releases or enterprise workloads. The dispersed odds capture uncertainty over whether these forces stabilize prices in the $2.50–$3 range or push them lower with accelerated older-GPU migration by year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$2.50-$3.00 27.3%
$1.50-$2.00 16.8%
$2.00-$2.50 16.5%
$3.00-$3.50 14.1%
$44,897 Vol.
$44,897 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
<$1.50
7%
$1.50-$2.00
17%
$2.00-$2.50
17%
$2.50-$3.00
27%
$3.00-$3.50
14%
$3.50-$4.00
12%
$4.00+
5%
$2.50-$3.00 27.3%
$1.50-$2.00 16.8%
$2.00-$2.50 16.5%
$3.00-$3.50 14.1%
$44,897 Vol.
$44,897 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
<$1.50
$1,246 Vol.
7%
$1.50-$2.00
$8,101 Vol.
17%
$2.00-$2.50
$15,412 Vol.
17%
$2.50-$3.00
$11,332 Vol.
27%
$3.00-$3.50
$6,044 Vol.
14%
$3.50-$4.00
$1,504 Vol.
12%
$4.00+
$1,258 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H100 Index price for December 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered. **Current H100 on-demand rental rates cluster around $2–$3.50 per GPU-hour in marketplace and neocloud segments, with medians near $3.25–$3.32 and spot capacity dipping below $2, reflecting a post-2025 rebound of roughly 12% over the past quarter.**
Persistent AI inference demand continues to absorb Hopper capacity even as Blackwell (B200/GB200) volumes ramp, while hyperscaler premiums remain elevated at $6–$12 due to managed services and scarcity. Key swing factors include the speed of Blackwell displacement versus memory (HBM) and packaging constraints that limit new supply, plus any late-year demand spikes from model releases or enterprise workloads. The dispersed odds capture uncertainty over whether these forces stabilize prices in the $2.50–$3 range or push them lower with accelerated older-GPU migration by year-end.
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H100 Index price for December 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 10, 2026, 10:05 AM ET
Volume
$44,897End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 10, 2026, 10:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H100 Index price for December 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered. **Current H100 on-demand rental rates cluster around $2–$3.50 per GPU-hour in marketplace and neocloud segments, with medians near $3.25–$3.32 and spot capacity dipping below $2, reflecting a post-2025 rebound of roughly 12% over the past quarter.**
Persistent AI inference demand continues to absorb Hopper capacity even as Blackwell (B200/GB200) volumes ramp, while hyperscaler premiums remain elevated at $6–$12 due to managed services and scarcity. Key swing factors include the speed of Blackwell displacement versus memory (HBM) and packaging constraints that limit new supply, plus any late-year demand spikes from model releases or enterprise workloads. The dispersed odds capture uncertainty over whether these forces stabilize prices in the $2.50–$3 range or push them lower with accelerated older-GPU migration by year-end.
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H100 Index price for December 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Volume
$44,897End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 10, 2026, 10:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current H100 on-demand rental rates cluster around $2–$3.50 per GPU-hour in marketplace and neocloud segments, with medians near $3.25–$3.32 and spot capacity dipping below $2, reflecting a post-2025 rebound of roughly 12% over the past quarter.** Persistent AI inference demand continues to absorb Hopper capacity even as Blackwell (B200/GB200) volumes ramp, while hyperscaler premiums remain elevated at $6–$12 due to managed services and scarcity. Key swing factors include the speed of Blackwell displacement versus memory (HBM) and packaging constraints that limit new supply, plus any late-year demand spikes from model releases or enterprise workloads. The dispersed odds capture uncertainty over whether these forces stabilize prices in the $2.50–$3 range or push them lower with accelerated older-GPU migration by year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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