Latest forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate northwest flow limiting insolation and daytime heating across Beijing on August 28. This supports trader consensus around a 24–25°C peak, as evaporative cooling and reduced solar radiation keep surface temperatures below recent August norms near 30°C. Minor model spread in the timing and coverage of clearing allows modest upside risk to 26°C in some runs, while stronger precipitation scenarios cap the high nearer 23°C. Historical climatology for late August shows similar transitional patterns after frontal passages produce comparable ranges.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Beijing on August 28?
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 28?
25°C 31%
24°C 24%
26°C 18%
23°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
5%
23°C
12%
24°C
24%
25°C
31%
26°C
18%
27°C
5%
28°C
3%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 31%
24°C 24%
26°C 18%
23°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
20°C or below
$52 Vol.
1%
21°C
$29 Vol.
2%
22°C
$214 Vol.
5%
23°C
$486 Vol.
12%
24°C
$365 Vol.
24%
25°C
$178 Vol.
31%
26°C
$467 Vol.
18%
27°C
$271 Vol.
5%
28°C
$61 Vol.
3%
29°C
$85 Vol.
1%
30°C or higher
$214 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate northwest flow limiting insolation and daytime heating across Beijing on August 28. This supports trader consensus around a 24–25°C peak, as evaporative cooling and reduced solar radiation keep surface temperatures below recent August norms near 30°C. Minor model spread in the timing and coverage of clearing allows modest upside risk to 26°C in some runs, while stronger precipitation scenarios cap the high nearer 23°C. Historical climatology for late August shows similar transitional patterns after frontal passages produce comparable ranges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$2,422End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate northwest flow limiting insolation and daytime heating across Beijing on August 28. This supports trader consensus around a 24–25°C peak, as evaporative cooling and reduced solar radiation keep surface temperatures below recent August norms near 30°C. Minor model spread in the timing and coverage of clearing allows modest upside risk to 26°C in some runs, while stronger precipitation scenarios cap the high nearer 23°C. Historical climatology for late August shows similar transitional patterns after frontal passages produce comparable ranges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,422End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate northwest flow limiting insolation and daytime heating across Beijing on August 28. This supports trader consensus around a 24–25°C peak, as evaporative cooling and reduced solar radiation keep surface temperatures below recent August norms near 30°C. Minor model spread in the timing and coverage of clearing allows modest upside risk to 26°C in some runs, while stronger precipitation scenarios cap the high nearer 23°C. Historical climatology for late August shows similar transitional patterns after frontal passages produce comparable ranges.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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