Recent forecasts from multiple models, including high-pressure dominance over central Europe and southerly flow, point to a peak temperature of 26–27°C in Warsaw on August 28 under mostly clear skies and moderate southeast winds. These conditions favor strong daytime heating without significant cloud cover or precipitation, aligning with late-summer climatology where daily maxima average near 21–25°C. The market’s heavy weighting toward 26°C (41%) and 25°C (26.5%) reflects consensus across official guidance showing limited model spread and no abrupt frontal changes expected before resolution. Updated runs over the past 48 hours have held steady, reinforcing trader confidence in this narrow range while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty of ±1–2°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 28?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 28?
26°C 42%
25°C 27%
27°C 22%
24°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
21°C or below
3%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
8%
25°C
27%
26°C
42%
27°C
22%
28°C
5%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 42%
25°C 27%
27°C 22%
24°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
21°C or below
$5 Vol.
3%
22°C
$116 Vol.
1%
23°C
$96 Vol.
2%
24°C
$8 Vol.
8%
25°C
$229 Vol.
27%
26°C
$115 Vol.
42%
27°C
$228 Vol.
22%
28°C
$0 Vol.
5%
29°C
$146 Vol.
2%
30°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$280 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including high-pressure dominance over central Europe and southerly flow, point to a peak temperature of 26–27°C in Warsaw on August 28 under mostly clear skies and moderate southeast winds. These conditions favor strong daytime heating without significant cloud cover or precipitation, aligning with late-summer climatology where daily maxima average near 21–25°C. The market’s heavy weighting toward 26°C (41%) and 25°C (26.5%) reflects consensus across official guidance showing limited model spread and no abrupt frontal changes expected before resolution. Updated runs over the past 48 hours have held steady, reinforcing trader confidence in this narrow range while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty of ±1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$1,227End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including high-pressure dominance over central Europe and southerly flow, point to a peak temperature of 26–27°C in Warsaw on August 28 under mostly clear skies and moderate southeast winds. These conditions favor strong daytime heating without significant cloud cover or precipitation, aligning with late-summer climatology where daily maxima average near 21–25°C. The market’s heavy weighting toward 26°C (41%) and 25°C (26.5%) reflects consensus across official guidance showing limited model spread and no abrupt frontal changes expected before resolution. Updated runs over the past 48 hours have held steady, reinforcing trader confidence in this narrow range while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty of ±1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,227End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including high-pressure dominance over central Europe and southerly flow, point to a peak temperature of 26–27°C in Warsaw on August 28 under mostly clear skies and moderate southeast winds. These conditions favor strong daytime heating without significant cloud cover or precipitation, aligning with late-summer climatology where daily maxima average near 21–25°C. The market’s heavy weighting toward 26°C (41%) and 25°C (26.5%) reflects consensus across official guidance showing limited model spread and no abrupt frontal changes expected before resolution. Updated runs over the past 48 hours have held steady, reinforcing trader confidence in this narrow range while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty of ±1–2°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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