Skip to main content
icon for Nasarawa, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
Politics·Africa

Nasarawa, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

icon for Nasarawa, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
Politics·Africa

Nasarawa, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

Aliyu Wadada Ahmed 66%

Nuhu Angbazo 7%

Emmanuel David Ombugadu 3.5%

Gbefwi Gaza Jonathan <1%

Polymarket
NEW

Aliyu Wadada Ahmed 66%

Nuhu Angbazo 7%

Emmanuel David Ombugadu 3.5%

Gbefwi Gaza Jonathan <1%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Aliyu Wadada Ahmed

Aliyu Wadada Ahmed

$4,350 Vol.

66%

icon for Nuhu Angbazo

Nuhu Angbazo

$1,383 Vol.

7%

icon for Emmanuel David Ombugadu

Emmanuel David Ombugadu

$282 Vol.

4%

icon for Gbefwi Gaza Jonathan

Gbefwi Gaza Jonathan

$203 Vol.

1%

icon for Mohammed Abubakar Adamu

Mohammed Abubakar Adamu

$220 Vol.

1%

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nasarawa State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nasarawa State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Governor Abdullahi Sule’s August 2026 endorsement of Senator Ahmed Aliyu Wadada as his preferred successor, combined with Wadada’s decisive May 2026 APC primary victory, has consolidated party machinery and institutional support behind the frontrunner ahead of the 2027 Nasarawa gubernatorial contest. This succession alignment has elevated Wadada’s implied probability well above rivals. Opposition figures including Nuhu Angbazo, Emmanuel David Ombugadu, and Gbefwi Gaza Jonathan remain at single-digit or lower levels, reflecting limited statewide organization and the structural advantages of the ruling party ticket. Trader consensus incorporates ongoing reconciliation efforts within APC alongside scattered resistance from supporters of defeated aspirants, while the general election timeline leaves room for shifts tied to primary outcomes in other parties and campaign developments through 2027.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nasarawa State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nasarawa State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Volume
$6,438
End Date
Feb 6, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 4:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nasarawa State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nasarawa State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nasarawa State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nasarawa State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Governor Abdullahi Sule’s August 2026 endorsement of Senator Ahmed Aliyu Wadada as his preferred successor, combined with Wadada’s decisive May 2026 APC primary victory, has consolidated party machinery and institutional support behind the frontrunner ahead of the 2027 Nasarawa gubernatorial contest. This succession alignment has elevated Wadada’s implied probability well above rivals. Opposition figures including Nuhu Angbazo, Emmanuel David Ombugadu, and Gbefwi Gaza Jonathan remain at single-digit or lower levels, reflecting limited statewide organization and the structural advantages of the ruling party ticket. Trader consensus incorporates ongoing reconciliation efforts within APC alongside scattered resistance from supporters of defeated aspirants, while the general election timeline leaves room for shifts tied to primary outcomes in other parties and campaign developments through 2027.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nasarawa State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nasarawa State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Volume
$6,438
End Date
Feb 6, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 4:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nasarawa State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nasarawa State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.

Related

icon for Will Mohammed Umaru Bago win the 2027 Niger State gubernatorial election?

Will Mohammed Umaru Bago win the 2027 Niger State gubernatorial election?

81%
icon for Will Dauda Lawal win the 2027 Zamfara State gubernatorial election?

Will Dauda Lawal win the 2027 Zamfara State gubernatorial election?

88%
icon for Will Umaru Dikko Radda win the 2027 Katsina State gubernatorial election?

Will Umaru Dikko Radda win the 2027 Katsina State gubernatorial election?

88%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Nasarawa, Nigeria Governor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Aliyu Wadada Ahmed" at 66%, followed by "Nuhu Angbazo" at 7%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 66¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 66% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Nasarawa, Nigeria Governor Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 21, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Nasarawa, Nigeria Governor Election Winner," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Nasarawa, Nigeria Governor Election Winner" is "Aliyu Wadada Ahmed" at 66%, meaning the market assigns a 66% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Nuhu Angbazo" at 7%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Nasarawa, Nigeria Governor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.