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Next James Bond actor?

icon for Next James Bond actor?

Next James Bond actor?

Jack Lowden 23.1%

No Bond chosen 19.7%

Jack Barton 18.6%

Callum Turner 16%

Polymarket

$455,941 Vol.

Jack Lowden 23.1%

No Bond chosen 19.7%

Jack Barton 18.6%

Callum Turner 16%

Polymarket

$455,941 Vol.

Jack Lowden

$80,723 Vol.

23%

No Bond chosen

$238,497 Vol.

20%

Jack Barton

$4,024 Vol.

19%

Callum Turner

$39,363 Vol.

16%

Jack O'Connell

$5,868 Vol.

12%

Harris Dickinson

$4,406 Vol.

4%

Theo James

$19,027 Vol.

3%

Jacob Elordi

$7,035 Vol.

3%

Paul Mescal

$3,350 Vol.

1%

Jonathan Bailey

$1,553 Vol.

1%

Tom Francis

$1,544 Vol.

1%

Josh O'Connor

$5,144 Vol.

1%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson

$13,152 Vol.

1%

Richard Madden

$1,503 Vol.

<1%

James Norton

$6,704 Vol.

<1%

Tom Hardy

$5,301 Vol.

<1%

Pierce Brosnan

$3,535 Vol.

<1%

Tom Holland

$2,961 Vol.

<1%

Timothee Chalamet

$2,518 Vol.

<1%

Nicholas Galitzine

$1,434 Vol.

<1%

Henry Cavill

$3,439 Vol.

<1%

Michael B Jordan

$2,618 Vol.

<1%

Robert James-Collier

$2,241 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent reports of a narrowed shortlist for Bond 26, directed by Denis Villeneuve with casting director Nina Gold, have driven the tight clustering among top contenders. Jack Lowden benefits from established spy-thriller credentials in Slow Horses and prior industry whispers, while surprise leader Jack Barton’s momentum stems from insider calls positioning the lesser-known 31-year-old as the early favorite after UK talent searches. Callum Turner, Jack O’Connell, and others round out a group slated for early-September screen tests, with producers Amy Pascal and David Heyman emphasizing long-term franchise potential. The proximity of these probabilities reflects trader focus on how test results and final producer consensus could shift the field before an expected year-end announcement.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$455,941
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent reports of a narrowed shortlist for Bond 26, directed by Denis Villeneuve with casting director Nina Gold, have driven the tight clustering among top contenders. Jack Lowden benefits from established spy-thriller credentials in Slow Horses and prior industry whispers, while surprise leader Jack Barton’s momentum stems from insider calls positioning the lesser-known 31-year-old as the early favorite after UK talent searches. Callum Turner, Jack O’Connell, and others round out a group slated for early-September screen tests, with producers Amy Pascal and David Heyman emphasizing long-term franchise potential. The proximity of these probabilities reflects trader focus on how test results and final producer consensus could shift the field before an expected year-end announcement.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$455,941
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Next James Bond actor?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 23 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jack Lowden" at 23%, followed by "No Bond chosen" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 23¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 23% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Next James Bond actor?" has generated $455.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 18, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Next James Bond actor?," browse the 23 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next James Bond actor?" is "Jack Lowden" at 23%, meaning the market assigns a 23% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "No Bond chosen" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next James Bond actor?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.