Oura's reported plans for a September U.S. IPO, targeting a valuation above $16 billion and up to $3 billion in proceeds with significant secondary sales, represent the central driver of trader sentiment on its closing market capitalization. This marks a substantial step-up from the $11 billion post-money valuation after its September 2025 Series E round, fueled by rapid revenue expansion from $500 million in 2024 to roughly $1 billion in 2025 and a projected near-$2 billion in 2026, alongside a growing subscription base exceeding five million members. Market-implied odds reflect optimism around these fundamentals and the shift toward recurring health-insights revenue, assigning 53% probability to a debut above $17.5 billion despite competition from Whoop and Samsung's Galaxy Ring. The closely contested bins highlight uncertainty over final pricing amid ongoing deliberations and broader wearables sector dynamics ahead of the anticipated listing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$20B+ 29%
$17.5B–$20B 25%
$15B–$17.5B 14%
$12.5B–$15B 11%
$304,757 Vol.
$304,757 Vol.
<$7.5B
6%
$7.5B–$10B
3%
$10B–$12.5B
7%
$12.5B–$15B
11%
$15B–$17.5B
14%
$17.5B–$20B
25%
$20B+
29%
No IPO before January 2027
6%
$20B+ 29%
$17.5B–$20B 25%
$15B–$17.5B 14%
$12.5B–$15B 11%
$304,757 Vol.
$304,757 Vol.
<$7.5B
6%
$7.5B–$10B
3%
$10B–$12.5B
7%
$12.5B–$15B
11%
$15B–$17.5B
14%
$17.5B–$20B
25%
$20B+
29%
No IPO before January 2027
6%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Oura’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Market Opened: May 26, 2026, 12:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Oura’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Oura's reported plans for a September U.S. IPO, targeting a valuation above $16 billion and up to $3 billion in proceeds with significant secondary sales, represent the central driver of trader sentiment on its closing market capitalization. This marks a substantial step-up from the $11 billion post-money valuation after its September 2025 Series E round, fueled by rapid revenue expansion from $500 million in 2024 to roughly $1 billion in 2025 and a projected near-$2 billion in 2026, alongside a growing subscription base exceeding five million members. Market-implied odds reflect optimism around these fundamentals and the shift toward recurring health-insights revenue, assigning 53% probability to a debut above $17.5 billion despite competition from Whoop and Samsung's Galaxy Ring. The closely contested bins highlight uncertainty over final pricing amid ongoing deliberations and broader wearables sector dynamics ahead of the anticipated listing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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