The 2026 NFL season features multiple high-volume quarterbacks such as Joe Burrow, Dak Prescott, Jared Goff, Justin Herbert, and Baker Mayfield operating in pass-heavy schemes for teams with defensive vulnerabilities, creating frequent shootout opportunities. Recent 2025 results included at least six 400-yard games, underscoring how weak secondaries and trailing game scripts reliably produce big passing outputs. Preseason trends and offseason roster moves, including the Bears’ addition of Ben Johnson’s offense for Caleb Williams, point to continued emphasis on downfield attempts and explosives. Early-season matchups involving these passers against bottom-tier defenses represent the most immediate catalysts, while quarterback injuries or stronger-than-expected run games could limit volume. Trader consensus reflects this established pattern of regular-season aerial production.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKyler Murray
50%
Michael Penix Jr.
50%
Bryce Young
50%
Tyler Shough
50%
Baker Mayfield
50%
Jacoby Brissett
50%
Matthew Stafford
50%
Brock Purdy
50%
Sam Darnold
50%
Josh Allen
50%
Malik Willis
50%
Drake Maye
50%
Geno Smith
50%
Lamar Jackson
50%
Joe Burrow
50%
Deshaun Watson
50%
Aaron Rodgers
50%
C.J. Stroud
50%
Daniel Jones
50%
Trevor Lawrence
50%
Cameron Ward
50%
Bo Nix
50%
Patrick Mahomes
50%
Kirk Cousins
50%
Justin Herbert
50%
Dak Prescott
50%
Jaxson Dart
50%
Jalen Hurts
50%
Jayden Daniels
50%
Caleb Williams
50%
Jared Goff
50%
Jordan Love
50%
$0.00 Vol.
Kyler Murray
50%
Michael Penix Jr.
50%
Bryce Young
50%
Tyler Shough
50%
Baker Mayfield
50%
Jacoby Brissett
50%
Matthew Stafford
50%
Brock Purdy
50%
Sam Darnold
50%
Josh Allen
50%
Malik Willis
50%
Drake Maye
50%
Geno Smith
50%
Lamar Jackson
50%
Joe Burrow
50%
Deshaun Watson
50%
Aaron Rodgers
50%
C.J. Stroud
50%
Daniel Jones
50%
Trevor Lawrence
50%
Cameron Ward
50%
Bo Nix
50%
Patrick Mahomes
50%
Kirk Cousins
50%
Justin Herbert
50%
Dak Prescott
50%
Jaxson Dart
50%
Jalen Hurts
50%
Jayden Daniels
50%
Caleb Williams
50%
Jared Goff
50%
Jordan Love
50%
Passing yards from a single game only will be considered; passing yards are not aggregated across games. The entire game, including any overtime period, will be considered. Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count.
If the listed player does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether the listed player recorded a 400-passing-yard game within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 4:16 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Passing yards from a single game only will be considered; passing yards are not aggregated across games. The entire game, including any overtime period, will be considered. Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count.
If the listed player does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether the listed player recorded a 400-passing-yard game within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The 2026 NFL season features multiple high-volume quarterbacks such as Joe Burrow, Dak Prescott, Jared Goff, Justin Herbert, and Baker Mayfield operating in pass-heavy schemes for teams with defensive vulnerabilities, creating frequent shootout opportunities. Recent 2025 results included at least six 400-yard games, underscoring how weak secondaries and trailing game scripts reliably produce big passing outputs. Preseason trends and offseason roster moves, including the Bears’ addition of Ben Johnson’s offense for Caleb Williams, point to continued emphasis on downfield attempts and explosives. Early-season matchups involving these passers against bottom-tier defenses represent the most immediate catalysts, while quarterback injuries or stronger-than-expected run games could limit volume. Trader consensus reflects this established pattern of regular-season aerial production.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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