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Sports·NFL

Pro Football: 2026-27 QBR Leader

icon for Pro Football: 2026-27 QBR Leader
Sports·NFL

Pro Football: 2026-27 QBR Leader

Geno Smith 49.9%

JJ McCarthy 49.9%

Trevor Lawrence 49.9%

Bryce Young 49.8%

Polymarket
NEW

Geno Smith 49.9%

JJ McCarthy 49.9%

Trevor Lawrence 49.9%

Bryce Young 49.8%

Polymarket
NEW

Geno Smith

$0 Vol.

50%

JJ McCarthy

$0 Vol.

50%

Trevor Lawrence

$0 Vol.

50%

Bryce Young

$0 Vol.

50%

OtherNFL Team Statistical Leaders

$0 Vol.

50%

Shedeur Sanders

$0 Vol.

50%

Jared Goff

$0 Vol.

27%

Jacoby Brissett

$0 Vol.

27%

Tyler Shough

$0 Vol.

27%

Sam Darnold

$0 Vol.

27%

Cam Ward

$0 Vol.

27%

Michael Penix Jr.

$0 Vol.

27%

Malik Willis

$0 Vol.

27%

Caleb Williams

$0 Vol.

27%

Kirk Cousins

$0 Vol.

27%

C.J. Stroud

$0 Vol.

27%

Kyler Murray

$0 Vol.

27%

Aaron Rodgers

$0 Vol.

27%

Jaxson Dart

$0 Vol.

27%

Daniel Jones

$0 Vol.

26%

Bo Nix

$0 Vol.

26%

Deshaun Watson

$0 Vol.

26%

Carson Beck

$55 Vol.

26%

Patrick Mahomes

$55 Vol.

11%

Drake Maye

$55 Vol.

11%

Brock Purdy

$0 Vol.

10%

Lamar Jackson

$55 Vol.

10%

Dak Prescott

$0 Vol.

10%

Josh Allen

$0 Vol.

8%

Jordan Love

$0 Vol.

8%

Matthew Stafford

$0 Vol.

7%

Joe Burrow

$0 Vol.

7%

Justin Herbert

$50 Vol.

6%

Jayden Daniels

$50 Vol.

6%

Fernando Mendoza

$50 Vol.

26%

Jalen Hurts

$27 Vol.

26%

This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most Total QBR (ESPN's Total Quarterback Rating) among qualified players. To qualify, a player must meet ESPN's minimum threshold for Total QBR leaderboard eligibility. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more qualifying dropbacks during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher traditional passer rating during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to “Other”. If the 2026-27 NFL season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available Total QBR data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in Total QBR among qualified players within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from ESPN; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With the 2026-27 NFL season still in its preseason phase, the QBR leader market shows a tight cluster of outcomes around 50% implied probability, underscoring broad uncertainty across dozens of quarterbacks. Training camp reports, offensive scheme changes, and roster adjustments for teams like the Colts, Patriots, and others have yet to produce a clear frontrunner, as no regular-season snaps have clarified form, efficiency, or durability. Trader consensus in this futures market captures the even odds stemming from historical variance in early-season QBR, potential injuries, and the impact of new supporting casts, leaving established passers such as Patrick Mahomes and Lamar Jackson at single-digit levels while the broader field stays bunched pending Week 1 results.

This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most Total QBR (ESPN's Total Quarterback Rating) among qualified players. To qualify, a player must meet ESPN's minimum threshold for Total QBR leaderboard eligibility.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more qualifying dropbacks during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher traditional passer rating during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to “Other”.

If the 2026-27 NFL season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available Total QBR data for completed games.

If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in Total QBR among qualified players within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from ESPN; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$397
End Date
Jan 12, 2027
Market Opened
Jul 20, 2026, 4:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most Total QBR (ESPN's Total Quarterback Rating) among qualified players. To qualify, a player must meet ESPN's minimum threshold for Total QBR leaderboard eligibility. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more qualifying dropbacks during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher traditional passer rating during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to “Other”. If the 2026-27 NFL season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available Total QBR data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in Total QBR among qualified players within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from ESPN; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most Total QBR (ESPN's Total Quarterback Rating) among qualified players. To qualify, a player must meet ESPN's minimum threshold for Total QBR leaderboard eligibility. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more qualifying dropbacks during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher traditional passer rating during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to “Other”. If the 2026-27 NFL season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available Total QBR data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in Total QBR among qualified players within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from ESPN; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With the 2026-27 NFL season still in its preseason phase, the QBR leader market shows a tight cluster of outcomes around 50% implied probability, underscoring broad uncertainty across dozens of quarterbacks. Training camp reports, offensive scheme changes, and roster adjustments for teams like the Colts, Patriots, and others have yet to produce a clear frontrunner, as no regular-season snaps have clarified form, efficiency, or durability. Trader consensus in this futures market captures the even odds stemming from historical variance in early-season QBR, potential injuries, and the impact of new supporting casts, leaving established passers such as Patrick Mahomes and Lamar Jackson at single-digit levels while the broader field stays bunched pending Week 1 results.

This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most Total QBR (ESPN's Total Quarterback Rating) among qualified players. To qualify, a player must meet ESPN's minimum threshold for Total QBR leaderboard eligibility.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more qualifying dropbacks during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher traditional passer rating during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to “Other”.

If the 2026-27 NFL season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available Total QBR data for completed games.

If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in Total QBR among qualified players within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from ESPN; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$397
End Date
Jan 12, 2027
Market Opened
Jul 20, 2026, 4:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most Total QBR (ESPN's Total Quarterback Rating) among qualified players. To qualify, a player must meet ESPN's minimum threshold for Total QBR leaderboard eligibility. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more qualifying dropbacks during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher traditional passer rating during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to “Other”. If the 2026-27 NFL season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available Total QBR data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in Total QBR among qualified players within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from ESPN; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

NFL 2026
Odds & Predictions

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Pro Football: 2026-27 QBR Leader" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 36 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Geno Smith" at 50%, followed by "JJ McCarthy" at 50%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 50¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Pro Football: 2026-27 QBR Leader" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 20, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Pro Football: 2026-27 QBR Leader," browse the 36 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Pro Football: 2026-27 QBR Leader" is "Geno Smith" at 50%, meaning the market assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "JJ McCarthy" at 50%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Pro Football: 2026-27 QBR Leader" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.