The closely matched probabilities across turnout ranges around 1.6M–2.2M votes reflect trader uncertainty over general election participation in the South Carolina U.S. Senate contest between Republican Darline Graham and Democrat Annie Andrews. Recent high primary and runoff turnout—driven by record early voting, geographic mobilization patterns, and attention following the special nomination process after Lindsey Graham’s death—provides a baseline, yet midterm base mobilization, independent voter engagement, and ongoing campaign intensity remain variable. Developments such as shifts in early voting data, candidate events in key counties, or changes in national political conditions could widen the distribution by altering get-out-the-vote effectiveness or overall voter interest before November 3.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated2M-2.2M 53%
1.8M-2M 30%
<1.4M 28%
1.6M-1.8M 26%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
<1.4M
28%
1.4M-1.6M
24%
1.6M-1.8M
26%
1.8M-2M
30%
2M-2.2M
53%
2.2M+
26%
2M-2.2M 53%
1.8M-2M 30%
<1.4M 28%
1.6M-1.8M 26%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
<1.4M
$0 Vol.
28%
1.4M-1.6M
$0 Vol.
24%
1.6M-1.8M
$0 Vol.
26%
1.8M-2M
$0 Vol.
30%
2M-2.2M
$0 Vol.
53%
2.2M+
$0 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Carolina.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Carolina, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely matched probabilities across turnout ranges around 1.6M–2.2M votes reflect trader uncertainty over general election participation in the South Carolina U.S. Senate contest between Republican Darline Graham and Democrat Annie Andrews. Recent high primary and runoff turnout—driven by record early voting, geographic mobilization patterns, and attention following the special nomination process after Lindsey Graham’s death—provides a baseline, yet midterm base mobilization, independent voter engagement, and ongoing campaign intensity remain variable. Developments such as shifts in early voting data, candidate events in key counties, or changes in national political conditions could widen the distribution by altering get-out-the-vote effectiveness or overall voter interest before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Carolina.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Carolina, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Carolina, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 18, 2026, 10:22 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 10:22 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Carolina.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Carolina, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely matched probabilities across turnout ranges around 1.6M–2.2M votes reflect trader uncertainty over general election participation in the South Carolina U.S. Senate contest between Republican Darline Graham and Democrat Annie Andrews. Recent high primary and runoff turnout—driven by record early voting, geographic mobilization patterns, and attention following the special nomination process after Lindsey Graham’s death—provides a baseline, yet midterm base mobilization, independent voter engagement, and ongoing campaign intensity remain variable. Developments such as shifts in early voting data, candidate events in key counties, or changes in national political conditions could widen the distribution by altering get-out-the-vote effectiveness or overall voter interest before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Carolina.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Carolina, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Carolina, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 10:22 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched probabilities across turnout ranges around 1.6M–2.2M votes reflect trader uncertainty over general election participation in the South Carolina U.S. Senate contest between Republican Darline Graham and Democrat Annie Andrews. Recent high primary and runoff turnout—driven by record early voting, geographic mobilization patterns, and attention following the special nomination process after Lindsey Graham’s death—provides a baseline, yet midterm base mobilization, independent voter engagement, and ongoing campaign intensity remain variable. Developments such as shifts in early voting data, candidate events in key counties, or changes in national political conditions could widen the distribution by altering get-out-the-vote effectiveness or overall voter interest before November 3.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRelated
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