The closely matched Polymarket bins reflect uncertainty over total ballots cast in Tennessee's low-salience November 3, 2026 Senate contest between incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty and Democrat Marquita Bradshaw. Tennessee's historically low midterm participation rates, combined with the race's Safe Republican rating, anchor expectations in the middle ranges, while elevated August primary turnout—driven by congressional redistricting after the Supreme Court decision in Louisiana v. Callais and mobilization around voting rights—suggests possible upside from heightened Democratic engagement among Black voters. Campaigns' ground efforts, early voting access, and any national midterm dynamics could shift totals, but the absence of a competitive governor or House battle in the state limits broad enthusiasm.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated<1.6M 42%
1.6M-1.8M 33%
2.6M+ 32%
2.2M-2.4M 28%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
<1.6M
42%
1.6M-1.8M
33%
1.8M-2M
26%
2M-2.2M
28%
2.2M-2.4M
28%
2.4M-2.6M
27%
2.6M+
32%
<1.6M 42%
1.6M-1.8M 33%
2.6M+ 32%
2.2M-2.4M 28%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
<1.6M
$16 Vol.
42%
1.6M-1.8M
$16 Vol.
33%
1.8M-2M
$21 Vol.
26%
2M-2.2M
$16 Vol.
28%
2.2M-2.4M
$16 Vol.
28%
2.4M-2.6M
$25 Vol.
27%
2.6M+
$21 Vol.
32%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely matched Polymarket bins reflect uncertainty over total ballots cast in Tennessee's low-salience November 3, 2026 Senate contest between incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty and Democrat Marquita Bradshaw. Tennessee's historically low midterm participation rates, combined with the race's Safe Republican rating, anchor expectations in the middle ranges, while elevated August primary turnout—driven by congressional redistricting after the Supreme Court decision in Louisiana v. Callais and mobilization around voting rights—suggests possible upside from heightened Democratic engagement among Black voters. Campaigns' ground efforts, early voting access, and any national midterm dynamics could shift totals, but the absence of a competitive governor or House battle in the state limits broad enthusiasm.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 18, 2026, 10:22 AM ET
Volume
$131End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 10:22 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely matched Polymarket bins reflect uncertainty over total ballots cast in Tennessee's low-salience November 3, 2026 Senate contest between incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty and Democrat Marquita Bradshaw. Tennessee's historically low midterm participation rates, combined with the race's Safe Republican rating, anchor expectations in the middle ranges, while elevated August primary turnout—driven by congressional redistricting after the Supreme Court decision in Louisiana v. Callais and mobilization around voting rights—suggests possible upside from heightened Democratic engagement among Black voters. Campaigns' ground efforts, early voting access, and any national midterm dynamics could shift totals, but the absence of a competitive governor or House battle in the state limits broad enthusiasm.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$131End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 10:22 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched Polymarket bins reflect uncertainty over total ballots cast in Tennessee's low-salience November 3, 2026 Senate contest between incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty and Democrat Marquita Bradshaw. Tennessee's historically low midterm participation rates, combined with the race's Safe Republican rating, anchor expectations in the middle ranges, while elevated August primary turnout—driven by congressional redistricting after the Supreme Court decision in Louisiana v. Callais and mobilization around voting rights—suggests possible upside from heightened Democratic engagement among Black voters. Campaigns' ground efforts, early voting access, and any national midterm dynamics could shift totals, but the absence of a competitive governor or House battle in the state limits broad enthusiasm.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRelated
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