The closely matched probabilities across 400K-650K turnout brackets for West Virginia's November 3 Senate contest stem from the race's low-competitiveness profile. Incumbent Republican Shelley Moore Capito holds a Safe or Solid Republican rating against Democrat Rachel Fetty Anderson, following her decisive May primary win. This setup reduces national spending, party mobilization, and voter enthusiasm in a state with historically modest midterm participation shaped by rural demographics and an older electorate. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over baseline turnout levels without a tight contest or major late catalysts. Key variables that could widen ranges include shifts in early voting or registration data, any unexpected national political developments affecting local engagement, or changes in campaign visibility closer to Election Day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWest Virginia Senate Election: Turnout
West Virginia Senate Election: Turnout
600K-650K 42%
650K+ 39%
450K-500K 39%
400K-450K 34%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
<400K
40%
400K-450K
34%
450K-500K
39%
500K-550K
33%
550K-600K
29%
600K-650K
42%
650K+
39%
600K-650K 42%
650K+ 39%
450K-500K 39%
400K-450K 34%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
<400K
$48 Vol.
40%
400K-450K
$34 Vol.
34%
450K-500K
$34 Vol.
39%
500K-550K
$34 Vol.
33%
550K-600K
$34 Vol.
29%
600K-650K
$34 Vol.
42%
650K+
$34 Vol.
39%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from West Virginia.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from West Virginia, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely matched probabilities across 400K-650K turnout brackets for West Virginia's November 3 Senate contest stem from the race's low-competitiveness profile. Incumbent Republican Shelley Moore Capito holds a Safe or Solid Republican rating against Democrat Rachel Fetty Anderson, following her decisive May primary win. This setup reduces national spending, party mobilization, and voter enthusiasm in a state with historically modest midterm participation shaped by rural demographics and an older electorate. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over baseline turnout levels without a tight contest or major late catalysts. Key variables that could widen ranges include shifts in early voting or registration data, any unexpected national political developments affecting local engagement, or changes in campaign visibility closer to Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from West Virginia.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from West Virginia, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from West Virginia, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ET
Volume
$254End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from West Virginia.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from West Virginia, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely matched probabilities across 400K-650K turnout brackets for West Virginia's November 3 Senate contest stem from the race's low-competitiveness profile. Incumbent Republican Shelley Moore Capito holds a Safe or Solid Republican rating against Democrat Rachel Fetty Anderson, following her decisive May primary win. This setup reduces national spending, party mobilization, and voter enthusiasm in a state with historically modest midterm participation shaped by rural demographics and an older electorate. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over baseline turnout levels without a tight contest or major late catalysts. Key variables that could widen ranges include shifts in early voting or registration data, any unexpected national political developments affecting local engagement, or changes in campaign visibility closer to Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from West Virginia.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from West Virginia, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from West Virginia, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$254End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched probabilities across 400K-650K turnout brackets for West Virginia's November 3 Senate contest stem from the race's low-competitiveness profile. Incumbent Republican Shelley Moore Capito holds a Safe or Solid Republican rating against Democrat Rachel Fetty Anderson, following her decisive May primary win. This setup reduces national spending, party mobilization, and voter enthusiasm in a state with historically modest midterm participation shaped by rural demographics and an older electorate. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over baseline turnout levels without a tight contest or major late catalysts. Key variables that could widen ranges include shifts in early voting or registration data, any unexpected national political developments affecting local engagement, or changes in campaign visibility closer to Election Day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRelated
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