David Crowley's commanding position in the Wisconsin governor market stems from his narrow but decisive upset victory in the August 11 Democratic primary, where he edged progressive frontrunner Francesca Hong by under half a percentage point after trailing substantially in earlier surveys. Outgoing Governor Tony Evers endorsed Crowley, bolstering establishment support and turnout infrastructure in Milwaukee and suburban areas critical to Democratic margins. Traders appear to view Crowley, the Milwaukee County Executive with cross-aisle governing experience, as better positioned to consolidate the party's coalition in the open-seat contest against Republican nominee Tom Tiffany, a U.S. representative aligned closely with former President Trump. Recent Marquette and other polls show a tight general election race with Crowley holding slight edges among likely voters, though independents remain fluid ahead of the November 3 vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWisconsin Governor Election Winner
Wisconsin Governor Election Winner
$500,108 Vol.
$500,108 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
David Crowley (D)
81%
Tom Tiffany (R)
20%
$500,108 Vol.
$500,108 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
David Crowley (D)
$258,186 Vol.
81%
Tom Tiffany (R)
$241,922 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.David Crowley's commanding position in the Wisconsin governor market stems from his narrow but decisive upset victory in the August 11 Democratic primary, where he edged progressive frontrunner Francesca Hong by under half a percentage point after trailing substantially in earlier surveys. Outgoing Governor Tony Evers endorsed Crowley, bolstering establishment support and turnout infrastructure in Milwaukee and suburban areas critical to Democratic margins. Traders appear to view Crowley, the Milwaukee County Executive with cross-aisle governing experience, as better positioned to consolidate the party's coalition in the open-seat contest against Republican nominee Tom Tiffany, a U.S. representative aligned closely with former President Trump. Recent Marquette and other polls show a tight general election race with Crowley holding slight edges among likely voters, though independents remain fluid ahead of the November 3 vote.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Market Opened: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Volume
$500,108End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.David Crowley's commanding position in the Wisconsin governor market stems from his narrow but decisive upset victory in the August 11 Democratic primary, where he edged progressive frontrunner Francesca Hong by under half a percentage point after trailing substantially in earlier surveys. Outgoing Governor Tony Evers endorsed Crowley, bolstering establishment support and turnout infrastructure in Milwaukee and suburban areas critical to Democratic margins. Traders appear to view Crowley, the Milwaukee County Executive with cross-aisle governing experience, as better positioned to consolidate the party's coalition in the open-seat contest against Republican nominee Tom Tiffany, a U.S. representative aligned closely with former President Trump. Recent Marquette and other polls show a tight general election race with Crowley holding slight edges among likely voters, though independents remain fluid ahead of the November 3 vote.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$500,108End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...David Crowley's commanding position in the Wisconsin governor market stems from his narrow but decisive upset victory in the August 11 Democratic primary, where he edged progressive frontrunner Francesca Hong by under half a percentage point after trailing substantially in earlier surveys. Outgoing Governor Tony Evers endorsed Crowley, bolstering establishment support and turnout infrastructure in Milwaukee and suburban areas critical to Democratic margins. Traders appear to view Crowley, the Milwaukee County Executive with cross-aisle governing experience, as better positioned to consolidate the party's coalition in the open-seat contest against Republican nominee Tom Tiffany, a U.S. representative aligned closely with former President Trump. Recent Marquette and other polls show a tight general election race with Crowley holding slight edges among likely voters, though independents remain fluid ahead of the November 3 vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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