The Turner Prize 2026 shortlist, announced in April, features four artists with closely aligned market-implied probabilities reflecting balanced trader views ahead of the December 10 ceremony at MIMA. Tanoa Sasraku edges ahead on the strength of her ICA exhibition *Morale Patch*, which examines oil politics through corporate-inspired sculptures and works on paper, while Marguerite Humeau’s large-scale installations, Kira Freije’s life-size figurative sculptures incorporating personal casts, and Simeon Barclay’s debut spoken-word performance *The Ruin* each bring distinct critical profiles and thematic depth. With no guild-style precursors or late momentum shifts yet, the exhibition opening September 26 will likely serve as the primary catalyst, as jurors weigh the new presentations against established industry narratives around sculpture, performance, and conceptual installation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTurner Prize 2026 Winner
Turner Prize 2026 Winner
Tanoa Sasraku 31%
Marguerite Humeau 24%
Kira Freije 23%
Simeon Barclay 19%
$12,354 Vol.
$12,354 Vol.
Dec 10, 2026
Tanoa Sasraku
31%
Marguerite Humeau
24%
Kira Freije
23%
Simeon Barclay
19%
Tanoa Sasraku 31%
Marguerite Humeau 24%
Kira Freije 23%
Simeon Barclay 19%
$12,354 Vol.
$12,354 Vol.
Dec 10, 2026
Tanoa Sasraku
$3,390 Vol.
31%
Marguerite Humeau
$3,616 Vol.
24%
Kira Freije
$2,996 Vol.
23%
Simeon Barclay
$2,352 Vol.
19%
The Turner Prize is awarded annually by Tate to a British artist for an outstanding exhibition or other presentation of their work. The Turner Prize 2026 shortlist was announced on April 23, 2026, and the shortlisted artists' exhibition runs at Middlesbrough Institute of Modern Art (MIMA) from September 26, 2026 to March 29, 2027. The winner is scheduled to be announced on December 10, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the artist who is awarded the Turner Prize 2026.
If no winner has been declared by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If multiple listed artists are jointly awarded the Turner Prize 2026, this market will resolve in favor of the winning artist whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tate (https://www.tate.org.uk/) and the Turner Prize; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Turner Prize 2026 shortlist, announced in April, features four artists with closely aligned market-implied probabilities reflecting balanced trader views ahead of the December 10 ceremony at MIMA. Tanoa Sasraku edges ahead on the strength of her ICA exhibition *Morale Patch*, which examines oil politics through corporate-inspired sculptures and works on paper, while Marguerite Humeau’s large-scale installations, Kira Freije’s life-size figurative sculptures incorporating personal casts, and Simeon Barclay’s debut spoken-word performance *The Ruin* each bring distinct critical profiles and thematic depth. With no guild-style precursors or late momentum shifts yet, the exhibition opening September 26 will likely serve as the primary catalyst, as jurors weigh the new presentations against established industry narratives around sculpture, performance, and conceptual installation.
The Turner Prize is awarded annually by Tate to a British artist for an outstanding exhibition or other presentation of their work. The Turner Prize 2026 shortlist was announced on April 23, 2026, and the shortlisted artists' exhibition runs at Middlesbrough Institute of Modern Art (MIMA) from September 26, 2026 to March 29, 2027. The winner is scheduled to be announced on December 10, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the artist who is awarded the Turner Prize 2026.
If no winner has been declared by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If multiple listed artists are jointly awarded the Turner Prize 2026, this market will resolve in favor of the winning artist whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tate (https://www.tate.org.uk/) and the Turner Prize; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the artist who is awarded the Turner Prize 2026.
If no winner has been declared by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If multiple listed artists are jointly awarded the Turner Prize 2026, this market will resolve in favor of the winning artist whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tate (https://www.tate.org.uk/) and the Turner Prize; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 12:55 PM ET
Volume
$12,354End Date
Dec 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 12:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Turner Prize is awarded annually by Tate to a British artist for an outstanding exhibition or other presentation of their work. The Turner Prize 2026 shortlist was announced on April 23, 2026, and the shortlisted artists' exhibition runs at Middlesbrough Institute of Modern Art (MIMA) from September 26, 2026 to March 29, 2027. The winner is scheduled to be announced on December 10, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the artist who is awarded the Turner Prize 2026.
If no winner has been declared by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If multiple listed artists are jointly awarded the Turner Prize 2026, this market will resolve in favor of the winning artist whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tate (https://www.tate.org.uk/) and the Turner Prize; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Turner Prize 2026 shortlist, announced in April, features four artists with closely aligned market-implied probabilities reflecting balanced trader views ahead of the December 10 ceremony at MIMA. Tanoa Sasraku edges ahead on the strength of her ICA exhibition *Morale Patch*, which examines oil politics through corporate-inspired sculptures and works on paper, while Marguerite Humeau’s large-scale installations, Kira Freije’s life-size figurative sculptures incorporating personal casts, and Simeon Barclay’s debut spoken-word performance *The Ruin* each bring distinct critical profiles and thematic depth. With no guild-style precursors or late momentum shifts yet, the exhibition opening September 26 will likely serve as the primary catalyst, as jurors weigh the new presentations against established industry narratives around sculpture, performance, and conceptual installation.
The Turner Prize is awarded annually by Tate to a British artist for an outstanding exhibition or other presentation of their work. The Turner Prize 2026 shortlist was announced on April 23, 2026, and the shortlisted artists' exhibition runs at Middlesbrough Institute of Modern Art (MIMA) from September 26, 2026 to March 29, 2027. The winner is scheduled to be announced on December 10, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the artist who is awarded the Turner Prize 2026.
If no winner has been declared by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If multiple listed artists are jointly awarded the Turner Prize 2026, this market will resolve in favor of the winning artist whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tate (https://www.tate.org.uk/) and the Turner Prize; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the artist who is awarded the Turner Prize 2026.
If no winner has been declared by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If multiple listed artists are jointly awarded the Turner Prize 2026, this market will resolve in favor of the winning artist whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tate (https://www.tate.org.uk/) and the Turner Prize; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$12,354End Date
Dec 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 12:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Turner Prize 2026 shortlist, announced in April, features four artists with closely aligned market-implied probabilities reflecting balanced trader views ahead of the December 10 ceremony at MIMA. Tanoa Sasraku edges ahead on the strength of her ICA exhibition *Morale Patch*, which examines oil politics through corporate-inspired sculptures and works on paper, while Marguerite Humeau’s large-scale installations, Kira Freije’s life-size figurative sculptures incorporating personal casts, and Simeon Barclay’s debut spoken-word performance *The Ruin* each bring distinct critical profiles and thematic depth. With no guild-style precursors or late momentum shifts yet, the exhibition opening September 26 will likely serve as the primary catalyst, as jurors weigh the new presentations against established industry narratives around sculpture, performance, and conceptual installation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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