Aryna Sabalenka and Elena Rybakina face the sharpest questions entering the 2026 US Open main draw, with the top seed showing inconsistent recent results and the second seed managing a lingering left ankle issue from Cincinnati. Coco Gauff enters with strong momentum after her Cincinnati title, a favorable early path, and projected fourth-round tests against players like Alexandra Eala. Iga Swiatek’s Toronto title adds confidence despite a loaded quarter that could pit her against Rybakina. Mirra Andreeva and Amanda Anisimova occupy dangerous positions in the bottom half, where hard-court form, potential early upsets, and draw-specific matchups will determine which favorites convert seeding into quarterfinal appearances starting August 30.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIga Swiatek
66%
Coco Gauff
61%
Jessica Pegula
55%
Elena Rybakina
26%
Mirra Andreeva
33%
Amanda Anisimova
32%
Linda Noskova
32%
Marta Kostyuk
32%
Karolina Muchova
31%
Naomi Osaka
31%
Sorana Cirstea
25%
Maja Chwalinska
25%
Elina Svitolina
21%
Reese Brantmeier
18%
Leolia Jeanjean
16%
Sofia Kenin
16%
Thea Frodin
16%
Madison Keys
13%
Diana Shnaider
11%
Belinda Bencic
10%
Iva Jovic
9%
Maria Sakkari
9%
Barbora Krejcikova
8%
Anastasia Potapova
8%
Jasmine Paolini
8%
Elise Mertens
7%
Sara Bejlek
7%
Leylah Fernandez
7%
Emma Navarro
7%
Sloane Stephens
6%
Jelena Ostapenko
6%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
5%
Anna Kalinskaya
5%
Carol Young Suh Lee
5%
Taylah Preston
5%
Ann Li
5%
Marie Bouzkova
5%
Alexandra Eala
14%
Venus Williams
1%
Aryna Sabalenka
68%
$7,444 Vol.
Iga Swiatek
66%
Coco Gauff
61%
Jessica Pegula
55%
Elena Rybakina
26%
Mirra Andreeva
33%
Amanda Anisimova
32%
Linda Noskova
32%
Marta Kostyuk
32%
Karolina Muchova
31%
Naomi Osaka
31%
Sorana Cirstea
25%
Maja Chwalinska
25%
Elina Svitolina
21%
Reese Brantmeier
18%
Leolia Jeanjean
16%
Sofia Kenin
16%
Thea Frodin
16%
Madison Keys
13%
Diana Shnaider
11%
Belinda Bencic
10%
Iva Jovic
9%
Maria Sakkari
9%
Barbora Krejcikova
8%
Anastasia Potapova
8%
Jasmine Paolini
8%
Elise Mertens
7%
Sara Bejlek
7%
Leylah Fernandez
7%
Emma Navarro
7%
Sloane Stephens
6%
Jelena Ostapenko
6%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
5%
Anna Kalinskaya
5%
Carol Young Suh Lee
5%
Taylah Preston
5%
Ann Li
5%
Marie Bouzkova
5%
Alexandra Eala
14%
Venus Williams
1%
Aryna Sabalenka
68%
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Quarterfinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Quarterfinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and WTA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 11:43 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Quarterfinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Quarterfinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and WTA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Aryna Sabalenka and Elena Rybakina face the sharpest questions entering the 2026 US Open main draw, with the top seed showing inconsistent recent results and the second seed managing a lingering left ankle issue from Cincinnati. Coco Gauff enters with strong momentum after her Cincinnati title, a favorable early path, and projected fourth-round tests against players like Alexandra Eala. Iga Swiatek’s Toronto title adds confidence despite a loaded quarter that could pit her against Rybakina. Mirra Andreeva and Amanda Anisimova occupy dangerous positions in the bottom half, where hard-court form, potential early upsets, and draw-specific matchups will determine which favorites convert seeding into quarterfinal appearances starting August 30.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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