The US Open 2026 men's singles main draw begins August 30 at Flushing Meadows with Jannik Sinner absent due to a right knee injury, creating a more open field among the remaining contenders. Carlos Alcaraz returns as defending champion after four-plus months sidelined by a right wrist issue, entering with limited recent match play beyond mixed doubles and facing an early test against Roman Safiullin before potential Round of 16 clashes with players like Alexander Bublik. Top seed Alexander Zverev brings strong recent momentum from his French Open title, while 39-year-old Novak Djokovic seeks a record-extending 25th major but has struggled on hard courts this summer. Americans Ben Shelton and Taylor Fritz, along with Arthur Fils and Flavio Cobolli, hold favorable positioning or form edges from the North American swing, with draw sections, rest, and early-round health proving decisive for advancement past the third round.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$13,093 Vol.
Alexander Zverev
85%
Taylor Fritz
82%
Frances Tiafoe
75%
Carlos Alcaraz
71%
Rafael Jodar
70%
Alex de Minaur
50%
Jiri Lehecka
26%
Alexander Blockx
25%
Zizou Bergs
25%
Brandon Nakashima
48%
Ben Shelton
46%
Lorenzo Musetti
30%
Tommy Paul
41%
Alexander Bublik
40%
Andrey Rublev
38%
Francisco Cerundolo
30%
Gael Monfils
27%
Dane Sweeny
26%
Michael Zheng
26%
Juncheng Shang
26%
Cameron Norrie
25%
Darwin Blanch
25%
J.J. Wolf
25%
Filip Misolic
25%
Carlos Taberner
25%
Luciano Darderi
25%
Valentin Vacherot
25%
Alejandro Tabilo
25%
Arthur Rinderknech
25%
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
25%
Learner Tien
26%
Casper Ruud
18%
Thanasi Kokkinakis
5%
Jack Kennedy
1%
Sebastian Gorzny
1%
Arthur Fils
36%
Jakub Mensik
51%
Felix Auger-Aliassime
35%
Novak Djokovic
53%
Flavio Cobolli
53%
Daniil Medvedev
50%
$13,093 Vol.
Alexander Zverev
85%
Taylor Fritz
82%
Frances Tiafoe
75%
Carlos Alcaraz
71%
Rafael Jodar
70%
Alex de Minaur
50%
Jiri Lehecka
26%
Alexander Blockx
25%
Zizou Bergs
25%
Brandon Nakashima
48%
Ben Shelton
46%
Lorenzo Musetti
30%
Tommy Paul
41%
Alexander Bublik
40%
Andrey Rublev
38%
Francisco Cerundolo
30%
Gael Monfils
27%
Dane Sweeny
26%
Michael Zheng
26%
Juncheng Shang
26%
Cameron Norrie
25%
Darwin Blanch
25%
J.J. Wolf
25%
Filip Misolic
25%
Carlos Taberner
25%
Luciano Darderi
25%
Valentin Vacherot
25%
Alejandro Tabilo
25%
Arthur Rinderknech
25%
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
25%
Learner Tien
26%
Casper Ruud
18%
Thanasi Kokkinakis
5%
Jack Kennedy
1%
Sebastian Gorzny
1%
Arthur Fils
36%
Jakub Mensik
51%
Felix Auger-Aliassime
35%
Novak Djokovic
53%
Flavio Cobolli
53%
Daniil Medvedev
50%
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Round of 16 at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Round of 16 have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 11:18 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Round of 16 at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Round of 16 have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The US Open 2026 men's singles main draw begins August 30 at Flushing Meadows with Jannik Sinner absent due to a right knee injury, creating a more open field among the remaining contenders. Carlos Alcaraz returns as defending champion after four-plus months sidelined by a right wrist issue, entering with limited recent match play beyond mixed doubles and facing an early test against Roman Safiullin before potential Round of 16 clashes with players like Alexander Bublik. Top seed Alexander Zverev brings strong recent momentum from his French Open title, while 39-year-old Novak Djokovic seeks a record-extending 25th major but has struggled on hard courts this summer. Americans Ben Shelton and Taylor Fritz, along with Arthur Fils and Flavio Cobolli, hold favorable positioning or form edges from the North American swing, with draw sections, rest, and early-round health proving decisive for advancement past the third round.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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