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Sports·ATP

US Open 2026: To Reach Round of 16 (Men's Singles)

icon for US Open 2026: To Reach Round of 16 (Men's Singles)
Sports·ATP

US Open 2026: To Reach Round of 16 (Men's Singles)

$13,113 Vol.

Sep 6, 2026
Polymarket

$13,113 Vol.

Polymarket

Taylor Fritz

$0 Vol.

90%

Frances Tiafoe

$20 Vol.

86%

Alexander Zverev

$200 Vol.

85%

Carlos Alcaraz

$5,169 Vol.

71%

Rafael Jodar

$61 Vol.

70%

Flavio Cobolli

$21 Vol.

65%

Arthur Fils

$209 Vol.

62%

Alex de Minaur

$20 Vol.

51%

Jiri Lehecka

$39 Vol.

25%

Alexander Blockx

$39 Vol.

25%

Zizou Bergs

$39 Vol.

25%

Brandon Nakashima

$586 Vol.

48%

Ben Shelton

$0 Vol.

46%

Lorenzo Musetti

$83 Vol.

30%

Tommy Paul

$82 Vol.

41%

Alexander Bublik

$21 Vol.

40%

Andrey Rublev

$82 Vol.

38%

Francisco Cerundolo

$62 Vol.

30%

Gael Monfils

$0 Vol.

26%

Cameron Norrie

$0 Vol.

25%

Darwin Blanch

$0 Vol.

25%

J.J. Wolf

$0 Vol.

25%

Filip Misolic

$0 Vol.

25%

Carlos Taberner

$0 Vol.

25%

Luciano Darderi

$0 Vol.

25%

Valentin Vacherot

$0 Vol.

25%

Alejandro Tabilo

$0 Vol.

25%

Arthur Rinderknech

$0 Vol.

25%

Tomas Martin Etcheverry

$0 Vol.

25%

Learner Tien

$21 Vol.

26%

Casper Ruud

$175 Vol.

18%

Dane Sweeny

$0 Vol.

5%

Michael Zheng

$0 Vol.

5%

Thanasi Kokkinakis

$0 Vol.

5%

Juncheng Shang

$0 Vol.

5%

Jack Kennedy

$660 Vol.

1%

Sebastian Gorzny

$3,027 Vol.

1%

Jakub Mensik

$141 Vol.

51%

Felix Auger-Aliassime

$321 Vol.

40%

Novak Djokovic

$5 Vol.

53%

Daniil Medvedev

$22 Vol.

50%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Round of 16 at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Round of 16 at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Round of 16 have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The absence of world No. 1 Jannik Sinner due to a knee injury has reshaped the 2026 US Open men's draw, elevating Alexander Zverev to the top seed with a relatively favorable early path and positioning defending champion Carlos Alcaraz as the consensus favorite despite a four-month wrist layoff. Alcaraz opens against Roman Safiullin and faces potential Round of 16 tests against players like Alexander Bublik or Tommy Paul, while Zverev's side offers fewer immediate obstacles before deeper matchups. Novak Djokovic, at 39 and chasing a record 25th major, benefits from an accommodating first-week schedule but has shown heat-related concerns in recent events. Emerging threats such as Arthur Fils, fresh off a Cincinnati title, and Ben Shelton add volatility in the bottom half, with surface-specific form, rest, and injury management likely determining which players secure the three wins needed for the Round of 16.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Round of 16 at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Round of 16 at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Round of 16 have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$13,113
End Date
Sep 6, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 11:18 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Round of 16 at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Round of 16 at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Round of 16 have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Round of 16 at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Round of 16 at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Round of 16 have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The absence of world No. 1 Jannik Sinner due to a knee injury has reshaped the 2026 US Open men's draw, elevating Alexander Zverev to the top seed with a relatively favorable early path and positioning defending champion Carlos Alcaraz as the consensus favorite despite a four-month wrist layoff. Alcaraz opens against Roman Safiullin and faces potential Round of 16 tests against players like Alexander Bublik or Tommy Paul, while Zverev's side offers fewer immediate obstacles before deeper matchups. Novak Djokovic, at 39 and chasing a record 25th major, benefits from an accommodating first-week schedule but has shown heat-related concerns in recent events. Emerging threats such as Arthur Fils, fresh off a Cincinnati title, and Ben Shelton add volatility in the bottom half, with surface-specific form, rest, and injury management likely determining which players secure the three wins needed for the Round of 16.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Round of 16 at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Round of 16 at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Round of 16 have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$13,113
End Date
Sep 6, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 11:18 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Round of 16 at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Round of 16 at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Round of 16 have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"US Open 2026: To Reach Round of 16 (Men's Singles)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Taylor Fritz" at 90%, followed by "Frances Tiafoe" at 86%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 90¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "US Open 2026: To Reach Round of 16 (Men's Singles)" has generated $13.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 25, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "US Open 2026: To Reach Round of 16 (Men's Singles)," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "US Open 2026: To Reach Round of 16 (Men's Singles)" is "Taylor Fritz" at 90%, meaning the market assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Frances Tiafoe" at 86%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "US Open 2026: To Reach Round of 16 (Men's Singles)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.