Skip to main content
icon for US Open 2026: To Reach Round of 16 (Men's Singles)
Sports·ATP

US Open 2026: To Reach Round of 16 (Men's Singles)

icon for US Open 2026: To Reach Round of 16 (Men's Singles)
Sports·ATP

US Open 2026: To Reach Round of 16 (Men's Singles)

$12,474 Vol.

Sep 6, 2026
Polymarket

$12,474 Vol.

Polymarket

Alexander Zverev

$200 Vol.

87%

Taylor Fritz

$0 Vol.

81%

Carlos Alcaraz

$5,165 Vol.

71%

Ben Shelton

$0 Vol.

69%

Frances Tiafoe

$0 Vol.

62%

Arthur Fils

$148 Vol.

62%

Lorenzo Musetti

$83 Vol.

30%

Brandon Nakashima

$531 Vol.

44%

Tommy Paul

$42 Vol.

41%

Alexander Bublik

$21 Vol.

32%

Andrey Rublev

$0 Vol.

30%

J.J. Wolf

$0 Vol.

26%

Jiri Lehecka

$0 Vol.

25%

Alexander Blockx

$0 Vol.

25%

Zizou Bergs

$0 Vol.

25%

Cameron Norrie

$0 Vol.

25%

Darwin Blanch

$0 Vol.

25%

Gael Monfils

$0 Vol.

25%

Dane Sweeny

$0 Vol.

25%

Michael Zheng

$0 Vol.

25%

Juncheng Shang

$0 Vol.

25%

Thanasi Kokkinakis

$0 Vol.

25%

Filip Misolic

$0 Vol.

25%

Carlos Taberner

$0 Vol.

25%

Luciano Darderi

$0 Vol.

25%

Valentin Vacherot

$0 Vol.

25%

Alejandro Tabilo

$0 Vol.

25%

Arthur Rinderknech

$0 Vol.

25%

Tomas Martin Etcheverry

$0 Vol.

25%

Learner Tien

$21 Vol.

26%

Francisco Cerundolo

$21 Vol.

15%

Casper Ruud

$175 Vol.

18%

Jack Kennedy

$660 Vol.

1%

Sebastian Gorzny

$3,027 Vol.

1%

Ugo Humbert

$994 Vol.

1%

Rafael Jodar

$61 Vol.

70%

Jakub Mensik

$82 Vol.

68%

Felix Auger-Aliassime

$261 Vol.

50%

Novak Djokovic

$5 Vol.

52%

Flavio Cobolli

$21 Vol.

52%

Alex de Minaur

$20 Vol.

51%

Daniil Medvedev

$22 Vol.

52%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Round of 16 at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Round of 16 at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Round of 16 have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**The 2026 US Open men's draw, released August 27 with main-draw action starting August 30, features a reshaped bracket after world No. 1 Jannik Sinner withdrew with a right knee injury, elevating Alexander Zverev to the top seed in a comparatively favorable top half while placing defending champion Carlos Alcaraz (No. 2) in a loaded bottom half alongside Novak Djokovic, Daniil Medvedev, and multiple past champions.** Alcaraz returns from a four-month right-wrist layoff with no recent singles matches, opening against Roman Safiullin and facing projected early tests from players such as Tommy Paul or Alexander Bublik en route to the round of 16. Zverev, fresh off Roland Garros and a Wimbledon final, benefits from strong hard-court momentum and faces Lorenzo Sonego first. Ben Shelton's back-to-back Canada titles and solid recent form position him as a threat in the Alcaraz quarter, while American depth (Taylor Fritz, Frances Tiafoe) and in-form names like Arthur Fils add volatility for mid-seeded players navigating best-of-five early rounds on hard courts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Round of 16 at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Round of 16 at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Round of 16 have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$12,474
End Date
Sep 6, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 11:18 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Round of 16 at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Round of 16 at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Round of 16 have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Round of 16 at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Round of 16 at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Round of 16 have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**The 2026 US Open men's draw, released August 27 with main-draw action starting August 30, features a reshaped bracket after world No. 1 Jannik Sinner withdrew with a right knee injury, elevating Alexander Zverev to the top seed in a comparatively favorable top half while placing defending champion Carlos Alcaraz (No. 2) in a loaded bottom half alongside Novak Djokovic, Daniil Medvedev, and multiple past champions.** Alcaraz returns from a four-month right-wrist layoff with no recent singles matches, opening against Roman Safiullin and facing projected early tests from players such as Tommy Paul or Alexander Bublik en route to the round of 16. Zverev, fresh off Roland Garros and a Wimbledon final, benefits from strong hard-court momentum and faces Lorenzo Sonego first. Ben Shelton's back-to-back Canada titles and solid recent form position him as a threat in the Alcaraz quarter, while American depth (Taylor Fritz, Frances Tiafoe) and in-form names like Arthur Fils add volatility for mid-seeded players navigating best-of-five early rounds on hard courts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Round of 16 at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Round of 16 at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Round of 16 have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$12,474
End Date
Sep 6, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 11:18 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Round of 16 at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Round of 16 at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Round of 16 have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related

icon for Will Aryna Sabalenka advance to the Round of 16 in Women's Singles at the 2026 US Open?

Will Aryna Sabalenka advance to the Round of 16 in Women's Singles at the 2026 US Open?

74%
icon for Will Alexander Zverev advance to the Semifinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 US Open?

Will Alexander Zverev advance to the Semifinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 US Open?

52%
icon for Will Alexander Zverev advance to the Quarterfinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 US Open?

Will Alexander Zverev advance to the Quarterfinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 US Open?

67%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"US Open 2026: To Reach Round of 16 (Men's Singles)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Alexander Zverev" at 87%, followed by "Taylor Fritz" at 81%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 87¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 87% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "US Open 2026: To Reach Round of 16 (Men's Singles)" has generated $12.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 25, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "US Open 2026: To Reach Round of 16 (Men's Singles)," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "US Open 2026: To Reach Round of 16 (Men's Singles)" is "Alexander Zverev" at 87%, meaning the market assigns a 87% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Taylor Fritz" at 81%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "US Open 2026: To Reach Round of 16 (Men's Singles)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.