Skip to main content
icon for US Open 2026: To Reach Semifinals (Women's Singles)
Sports·WTA

US Open 2026: To Reach Semifinals (Women's Singles)

icon for US Open 2026: To Reach Semifinals (Women's Singles)
Sports·WTA

US Open 2026: To Reach Semifinals (Women's Singles)

NEW
Sep 10, 2026
Polymarket

$8,743 Vol.

Polymarket

Aryna Sabalenka

$76 Vol.

50%

Coco Gauff

$376 Vol.

32%

Iga Swiatek

$21 Vol.

30%

Jessica Pegula

$5 Vol.

30%

Belinda Bencic

$0 Vol.

27%

Elena Rybakina

$488 Vol.

16%

Amanda Anisimova

$160 Vol.

15%

Linda Noskova

$0 Vol.

15%

Karolina Muchova

$0 Vol.

15%

Mirra Andreeva

$0 Vol.

14%

Alexandra Eala

$155 Vol.

10%

Elina Svitolina

$120 Vol.

9%

Madison Keys

$63 Vol.

9%

Marta Kostyuk

$0 Vol.

7%

Naomi Osaka

$0 Vol.

6%

Leylah Fernandez

$41 Vol.

5%

Venus Williams

$108 Vol.

4%

Barbora Krejcikova

$0 Vol.

4%

Sloane Stephens

$0 Vol.

4%

Sorana Cirstea

$0 Vol.

4%

Sara Bejlek

$2 Vol.

4%

Iva Jovic

$0 Vol.

3%

Diana Shnaider

$0 Vol.

3%

Jelena Ostapenko

$0 Vol.

3%

Taylah Preston

$0 Vol.

3%

Ekaterina Alexandrova

$0 Vol.

3%

Ann Li

$389 Vol.

3%

Anastasia Potapova

$366 Vol.

3%

Maria Sakkari

$0 Vol.

3%

Anna Kalinskaya

$0 Vol.

3%

Carol Young Suh Lee

$701 Vol.

2%

Emma Navarro

$1,909 Vol.

2%

Jasmine Paolini

$2,208 Vol.

2%

Maja Chwalinska

$591 Vol.

2%

Marie Bouzkova

$0 Vol.

2%

Reese Brantmeier

$0 Vol.

2%

Thea Frodin

$20 Vol.

2%

Leolia Jeanjean

$264 Vol.

2%

Sofia Kenin

$0 Vol.

2%

Elise Mertens

$681 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Semifinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and WTA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Aryna Sabalenka enters as the two-time defending champion and top seed despite a dip in recent form that includes early exits at Wimbledon and Cincinnati, while Elena Rybakina’s leg injury from the Western & Southern Open raises questions about her durability through the bottom half. Coco Gauff arrives with the strongest momentum after a Cincinnati title and strong hard-court results, positioning her well alongside Jessica Pegula in sections that could yield quarterfinal advantages over players like Mirra Andreeva or Linda Noskova. The draw creates balanced paths with projected quarterfinal clashes including Sabalenka-Noskova and Swiatek-Rybakina, making recent hard-court form, injury status, and matchup history the dominant factors in trader assessments of semifinal probabilities.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Semifinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and WTA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$8,743
End Date
Sep 10, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 11:44 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Semifinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and WTA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Semifinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and WTA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Aryna Sabalenka enters as the two-time defending champion and top seed despite a dip in recent form that includes early exits at Wimbledon and Cincinnati, while Elena Rybakina’s leg injury from the Western & Southern Open raises questions about her durability through the bottom half. Coco Gauff arrives with the strongest momentum after a Cincinnati title and strong hard-court results, positioning her well alongside Jessica Pegula in sections that could yield quarterfinal advantages over players like Mirra Andreeva or Linda Noskova. The draw creates balanced paths with projected quarterfinal clashes including Sabalenka-Noskova and Swiatek-Rybakina, making recent hard-court form, injury status, and matchup history the dominant factors in trader assessments of semifinal probabilities.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Semifinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and WTA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$8,743
End Date
Sep 10, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 11:44 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Semifinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and WTA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related

icon for Will Aryna Sabalenka advance to the Final in Women's Singles at the 2026 US Open?

Will Aryna Sabalenka advance to the Final in Women's Singles at the 2026 US Open?

36%
icon for Will Iga Swiatek advance to the Quarterfinals in Women's Singles at the 2026 US Open?

Will Iga Swiatek advance to the Quarterfinals in Women's Singles at the 2026 US Open?

71%
icon for Will Alexander Zverev advance to the Semifinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 US Open?

Will Alexander Zverev advance to the Semifinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 US Open?

55%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"US Open 2026: To Reach Semifinals (Women's Singles)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 40+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Aryna Sabalenka" at 49%, followed by "Coco Gauff" at 32%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 49¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"US Open 2026: To Reach Semifinals (Women's Singles)" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 25, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "US Open 2026: To Reach Semifinals (Women's Singles)," browse the 40+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "US Open 2026: To Reach Semifinals (Women's Singles)" is "Aryna Sabalenka" at 49%, meaning the market assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Coco Gauff" at 32%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "US Open 2026: To Reach Semifinals (Women's Singles)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.