Aryna Sabalenka enters as defending champion and top seed but faces scrutiny over inconsistent 2026 results, including a fourth-round Cincinnati exit and limited Grand Slam success since March. Coco Gauff arrives with strong hard-court momentum after capturing the Cincinnati title and advancing deep at Wimbledon, positioning her as a frontrunner in the bottom half alongside Iga Swiatek. Elena Rybakina’s recent leg injury raises questions about her depth, while Jessica Pegula and Mirra Andreeva offer reliable alternatives in their sections of the draw. The bracket splits top contenders across halves, emphasizing the importance of quarterfinal and semifinal matchups on the fast New York hard courts as the main draw opens August 30.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAryna Sabalenka
36%
Iga Swiatek
23%
Coco Gauff
19%
Jessica Pegula
12%
Elena Rybakina
12%
Naomi Osaka
10%
Mirra Andreeva
10%
Amanda Anisimova
9%
Linda Noskova
7%
Karolina Muchova
7%
Alexandra Eala
6%
Jasmine Paolini
25%
Elina Svitolina
4%
Marta Kostyuk
4%
Madison Keys
4%
Emma Navarro
3%
Diana Shnaider
3%
Barbora Krejcikova
2%
Iva Jovic
2%
Belinda Bencic
2%
Reese Brantmeier
2%
Carol Young Suh Lee
2%
Taylah Preston
2%
Maja Chwalinska
2%
Thea Frodin
2%
Jelena Ostapenko
2%
Leolia Jeanjean
2%
Sofia Kenin
2%
Venus Williams
2%
Leylah Fernandez
2%
Sorana Cirstea
2%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
2%
Maria Sakkari
2%
Anna Kalinskaya
2%
Elise Mertens
2%
Marie Bouzkova
2%
Anastasia Potapova
1%
Ann Li
1%
Sloane Stephens
1%
Sara Bejlek
1%
$9,712 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
36%
Iga Swiatek
23%
Coco Gauff
19%
Jessica Pegula
12%
Elena Rybakina
12%
Naomi Osaka
10%
Mirra Andreeva
10%
Amanda Anisimova
9%
Linda Noskova
7%
Karolina Muchova
7%
Alexandra Eala
6%
Jasmine Paolini
25%
Elina Svitolina
4%
Marta Kostyuk
4%
Madison Keys
4%
Emma Navarro
3%
Diana Shnaider
3%
Barbora Krejcikova
2%
Iva Jovic
2%
Belinda Bencic
2%
Reese Brantmeier
2%
Carol Young Suh Lee
2%
Taylah Preston
2%
Maja Chwalinska
2%
Thea Frodin
2%
Jelena Ostapenko
2%
Leolia Jeanjean
2%
Sofia Kenin
2%
Venus Williams
2%
Leylah Fernandez
2%
Sorana Cirstea
2%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
2%
Maria Sakkari
2%
Anna Kalinskaya
2%
Elise Mertens
2%
Marie Bouzkova
2%
Anastasia Potapova
1%
Ann Li
1%
Sloane Stephens
1%
Sara Bejlek
1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Final have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and WTA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 11:44 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Final have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and WTA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Aryna Sabalenka enters as defending champion and top seed but faces scrutiny over inconsistent 2026 results, including a fourth-round Cincinnati exit and limited Grand Slam success since March. Coco Gauff arrives with strong hard-court momentum after capturing the Cincinnati title and advancing deep at Wimbledon, positioning her as a frontrunner in the bottom half alongside Iga Swiatek. Elena Rybakina’s recent leg injury raises questions about her depth, while Jessica Pegula and Mirra Andreeva offer reliable alternatives in their sections of the draw. The bracket splits top contenders across halves, emphasizing the importance of quarterfinal and semifinal matchups on the fast New York hard courts as the main draw opens August 30.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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