US-Iran diplomatic efforts center on implementing the expired June 17 memorandum of understanding, which set a 60-day window for progress on the Strait of Hormuz, nuclear limits, sanctions relief, and related issues including Lebanon deconfliction. The deadline passed in mid-August without a final agreement, followed by new US sanctions targeting Iranian oil exports to China and Iranian warnings of strong responses. Technical and high-level discussions previously occurred in Switzerland and Qatar with involvement from mediators such as Pakistan and Qatar, featuring US officials including Vice President JD Vance alongside Iranian counterparts like Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf and Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi. No new round of direct or mediated talks has been confirmed in the final days of August, amid ongoing impasse and public statements from both sides.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$97,455 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
Nick Stewart
5%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
3%
Jared Kushner
2%
Rafael Grossi
2%
Abbas Araghchi
2%
Ishaq Dar
2%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
2%
Kazem Gharibabadi
2%
J.D. Vance
2%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
2%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
2%
Steve Witkoff
2%
Masoud Pezeshkian
1%
Pete Hegseth
1%
Marco Rubio
1%
Ahmad Vahidi
1%
Mojtaba Khamenei
1%
Esmail Qaani
1%
Donald Trump
<1%
$97,455 Vol.
Nick Stewart
$38 Vol.
5%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
$3,315 Vol.
3%
Jared Kushner
$14,141 Vol.
2%
Rafael Grossi
$959 Vol.
2%
Abbas Araghchi
$9,289 Vol.
2%
Ishaq Dar
$2,920 Vol.
2%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
$12,301 Vol.
2%
Kazem Gharibabadi
$1,752 Vol.
2%
J.D. Vance
$11,252 Vol.
2%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
$1,750 Vol.
2%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
$267 Vol.
2%
Steve Witkoff
$13,702 Vol.
2%
Masoud Pezeshkian
$1,772 Vol.
1%
Pete Hegseth
$2,632 Vol.
1%
Marco Rubio
$7,729 Vol.
1%
Ahmad Vahidi
$4,782 Vol.
1%
Mojtaba Khamenei
$884 Vol.
1%
Esmail Qaani
$809 Vol.
1%
Donald Trump
$7,171 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran diplomatic efforts center on implementing the expired June 17 memorandum of understanding, which set a 60-day window for progress on the Strait of Hormuz, nuclear limits, sanctions relief, and related issues including Lebanon deconfliction. The deadline passed in mid-August without a final agreement, followed by new US sanctions targeting Iranian oil exports to China and Iranian warnings of strong responses. Technical and high-level discussions previously occurred in Switzerland and Qatar with involvement from mediators such as Pakistan and Qatar, featuring US officials including Vice President JD Vance alongside Iranian counterparts like Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf and Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi. No new round of direct or mediated talks has been confirmed in the final days of August, amid ongoing impasse and public statements from both sides.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ET
Volume
$97,455End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran diplomatic efforts center on implementing the expired June 17 memorandum of understanding, which set a 60-day window for progress on the Strait of Hormuz, nuclear limits, sanctions relief, and related issues including Lebanon deconfliction. The deadline passed in mid-August without a final agreement, followed by new US sanctions targeting Iranian oil exports to China and Iranian warnings of strong responses. Technical and high-level discussions previously occurred in Switzerland and Qatar with involvement from mediators such as Pakistan and Qatar, featuring US officials including Vice President JD Vance alongside Iranian counterparts like Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf and Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi. No new round of direct or mediated talks has been confirmed in the final days of August, amid ongoing impasse and public statements from both sides.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$97,455End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-Iran diplomatic efforts center on implementing the expired June 17 memorandum of understanding, which set a 60-day window for progress on the Strait of Hormuz, nuclear limits, sanctions relief, and related issues including Lebanon deconfliction. The deadline passed in mid-August without a final agreement, followed by new US sanctions targeting Iranian oil exports to China and Iranian warnings of strong responses. Technical and high-level discussions previously occurred in Switzerland and Qatar with involvement from mediators such as Pakistan and Qatar, featuring US officials including Vice President JD Vance alongside Iranian counterparts like Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf and Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi. No new round of direct or mediated talks has been confirmed in the final days of August, amid ongoing impasse and public statements from both sides.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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