The US government has not implemented any Hormuz transit fees or reimbursements despite brief consideration of the idea. In mid-July 2026, President Trump announced a 20% cargo fee for US naval protection of the strait but reversed course within 24 hours, pivoting to Gulf state investment and trade commitments instead. US officials, including Secretary of State Marco Rubio, have repeatedly cited international law to reject mandatory tolls on the waterway. The Islamabad Memorandum’s 60-day toll-free window expired in August without extension or new agreement, leaving Iranian assertions of service fees and US sanctions on related entities as the main points of friction. Traders price low near-term odds for Washington collecting payments, viewing sanctions, diplomatic pressure, and Gulf investment deals as the prevailing approach over direct fee collection.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedUS charges Hormuz fees by...?
US charges Hormuz fees by...?
$969,451 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
August 31
<1%
December 31
5%
$969,451 Vol.
August 31
$178,136 Vol.
<1%
December 31
$104,163 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve "Yes" if the United States government collects a payment from any shipping company, vessel, foreign government, or other relevant entity as a fee, toll, or reimbursement for transit through the Strait of Hormuz, or for the protection of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.The US government has not implemented any Hormuz transit fees or reimbursements despite brief consideration of the idea. In mid-July 2026, President Trump announced a 20% cargo fee for US naval protection of the strait but reversed course within 24 hours, pivoting to Gulf state investment and trade commitments instead. US officials, including Secretary of State Marco Rubio, have repeatedly cited international law to reject mandatory tolls on the waterway. The Islamabad Memorandum’s 60-day toll-free window expired in August without extension or new agreement, leaving Iranian assertions of service fees and US sanctions on related entities as the main points of friction. Traders price low near-term odds for Washington collecting payments, viewing sanctions, diplomatic pressure, and Gulf investment deals as the prevailing approach over direct fee collection.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the United States government collects a payment from any shipping company, vessel, foreign government, or other relevant entity as a fee, toll, or reimbursement for transit through the Strait of Hormuz, or for the protection of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Jul 13, 2026, 12:00 PM ET
Volume
$969,451End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jul 13, 2026, 12:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve "Yes" if the United States government collects a payment from any shipping company, vessel, foreign government, or other relevant entity as a fee, toll, or reimbursement for transit through the Strait of Hormuz, or for the protection of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.The US government has not implemented any Hormuz transit fees or reimbursements despite brief consideration of the idea. In mid-July 2026, President Trump announced a 20% cargo fee for US naval protection of the strait but reversed course within 24 hours, pivoting to Gulf state investment and trade commitments instead. US officials, including Secretary of State Marco Rubio, have repeatedly cited international law to reject mandatory tolls on the waterway. The Islamabad Memorandum’s 60-day toll-free window expired in August without extension or new agreement, leaving Iranian assertions of service fees and US sanctions on related entities as the main points of friction. Traders price low near-term odds for Washington collecting payments, viewing sanctions, diplomatic pressure, and Gulf investment deals as the prevailing approach over direct fee collection.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the United States government collects a payment from any shipping company, vessel, foreign government, or other relevant entity as a fee, toll, or reimbursement for transit through the Strait of Hormuz, or for the protection of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$969,451End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jul 13, 2026, 12:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The US government has not implemented any Hormuz transit fees or reimbursements despite brief consideration of the idea. In mid-July 2026, President Trump announced a 20% cargo fee for US naval protection of the strait but reversed course within 24 hours, pivoting to Gulf state investment and trade commitments instead. US officials, including Secretary of State Marco Rubio, have repeatedly cited international law to reject mandatory tolls on the waterway. The Islamabad Memorandum’s 60-day toll-free window expired in August without extension or new agreement, leaving Iranian assertions of service fees and US sanctions on related entities as the main points of friction. Traders price low near-term odds for Washington collecting payments, viewing sanctions, diplomatic pressure, and Gulf investment deals as the prevailing approach over direct fee collection.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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