Recent diplomatic signals show stalled momentum toward new US-Iran talks, with the White House stating on August 27 that no negotiations are underway as Washington shifts to economic pressure on Tehran. Iran’s foreign minister has conditioned any revival on the US dropping its pressure campaign, while Qatar’s prime minister visited Tehran on August 28 to explore back channels. The June Islamabad memorandum’s 60-day window for broader nuclear, sanctions, and Strait of Hormuz arrangements expired without agreement, leaving mediators from Qatar, Pakistan, and Oman active but without confirmed high-level meetings scheduled before August 31. Past rounds featured US envoys including Vice President JD Vance alongside Iranian officials such as Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, yet current public statements point to limited near-term prospects for a fresh round.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$101,280 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
Abbas Araghchi
2%
Rafael Grossi
2%
Nick Stewart
1%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
1%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
1%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
1%
Pete Hegseth
1%
Jared Kushner
1%
Steve Witkoff
1%
J.D. Vance
1%
Kazem Gharibabadi
1%
Ahmad Vahidi
1%
Ishaq Dar
1%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
1%
Marco Rubio
1%
Mojtaba Khamenei
1%
Esmail Qaani
<1%
Donald Trump
<1%
Masoud Pezeshkian
<1%
$101,280 Vol.
Abbas Araghchi
$9,518 Vol.
2%
Rafael Grossi
$959 Vol.
2%
Nick Stewart
$50 Vol.
1%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
$3,405 Vol.
1%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
$12,325 Vol.
1%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
$311 Vol.
1%
Pete Hegseth
$2,632 Vol.
1%
Jared Kushner
$15,553 Vol.
1%
Steve Witkoff
$13,702 Vol.
1%
J.D. Vance
$12,001 Vol.
1%
Kazem Gharibabadi
$1,752 Vol.
1%
Ahmad Vahidi
$4,891 Vol.
1%
Ishaq Dar
$2,930 Vol.
1%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
$1,946 Vol.
1%
Marco Rubio
$7,819 Vol.
1%
Mojtaba Khamenei
$1,494 Vol.
1%
Esmail Qaani
$1,033 Vol.
<1%
Donald Trump
$7,173 Vol.
<1%
Masoud Pezeshkian
$1,785 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent diplomatic signals show stalled momentum toward new US-Iran talks, with the White House stating on August 27 that no negotiations are underway as Washington shifts to economic pressure on Tehran. Iran’s foreign minister has conditioned any revival on the US dropping its pressure campaign, while Qatar’s prime minister visited Tehran on August 28 to explore back channels. The June Islamabad memorandum’s 60-day window for broader nuclear, sanctions, and Strait of Hormuz arrangements expired without agreement, leaving mediators from Qatar, Pakistan, and Oman active but without confirmed high-level meetings scheduled before August 31. Past rounds featured US envoys including Vice President JD Vance alongside Iranian officials such as Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, yet current public statements point to limited near-term prospects for a fresh round.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ET
Volume
$101,280End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent diplomatic signals show stalled momentum toward new US-Iran talks, with the White House stating on August 27 that no negotiations are underway as Washington shifts to economic pressure on Tehran. Iran’s foreign minister has conditioned any revival on the US dropping its pressure campaign, while Qatar’s prime minister visited Tehran on August 28 to explore back channels. The June Islamabad memorandum’s 60-day window for broader nuclear, sanctions, and Strait of Hormuz arrangements expired without agreement, leaving mediators from Qatar, Pakistan, and Oman active but without confirmed high-level meetings scheduled before August 31. Past rounds featured US envoys including Vice President JD Vance alongside Iranian officials such as Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, yet current public statements point to limited near-term prospects for a fresh round.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$101,280End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent diplomatic signals show stalled momentum toward new US-Iran talks, with the White House stating on August 27 that no negotiations are underway as Washington shifts to economic pressure on Tehran. Iran’s foreign minister has conditioned any revival on the US dropping its pressure campaign, while Qatar’s prime minister visited Tehran on August 28 to explore back channels. The June Islamabad memorandum’s 60-day window for broader nuclear, sanctions, and Strait of Hormuz arrangements expired without agreement, leaving mediators from Qatar, Pakistan, and Oman active but without confirmed high-level meetings scheduled before August 31. Past rounds featured US envoys including Vice President JD Vance alongside Iranian officials such as Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, yet current public statements point to limited near-term prospects for a fresh round.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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