Recent diplomatic efforts between the US and Iran remain stalled following the expiration of the June 17 Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding and its 60-day window without a comprehensive accord on nuclear issues, sanctions relief, or freedom of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz. As of late August 2026, the White House has stated that no negotiations are underway, with Washington instead emphasizing economic pressure through additional sanctions. Iranian officials have conditioned any resumption on the US dropping its pressure campaign, while continuing separate discussions with Oman over Hormuz management. Qatari mediation, including a recent visit by the Qatari prime minister to Tehran, represents the primary backchannel activity, though no high-level bilateral round has been confirmed or scheduled before the August 31 cutoff. Historical patterns show technical talks occurring in venues such as Switzerland and Qatar under mediator facilitation, but current impasse and short timeline limit prospects for new direct attendance by principal negotiators.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$101,396 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
Abbas Araghchi
2%
Rafael Grossi
2%
Nick Stewart
1%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
1%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
1%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
1%
Pete Hegseth
1%
Jared Kushner
1%
J.D. Vance
1%
Steve Witkoff
1%
Kazem Gharibabadi
1%
Ishaq Dar
1%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
1%
Marco Rubio
1%
Ahmad Vahidi
1%
Mojtaba Khamenei
1%
Donald Trump
<1%
Masoud Pezeshkian
<1%
Esmail Qaani
<1%
$101,396 Vol.
Abbas Araghchi
$9,518 Vol.
2%
Rafael Grossi
$959 Vol.
2%
Nick Stewart
$50 Vol.
1%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
$3,405 Vol.
1%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
$12,325 Vol.
1%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
$311 Vol.
1%
Pete Hegseth
$2,632 Vol.
1%
Jared Kushner
$15,553 Vol.
1%
J.D. Vance
$12,001 Vol.
1%
Steve Witkoff
$13,702 Vol.
1%
Kazem Gharibabadi
$1,752 Vol.
1%
Ishaq Dar
$2,930 Vol.
1%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
$1,946 Vol.
1%
Marco Rubio
$7,819 Vol.
1%
Ahmad Vahidi
$4,891 Vol.
1%
Mojtaba Khamenei
$1,551 Vol.
1%
Donald Trump
$7,173 Vol.
<1%
Masoud Pezeshkian
$1,787 Vol.
<1%
Esmail Qaani
$1,091 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent diplomatic efforts between the US and Iran remain stalled following the expiration of the June 17 Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding and its 60-day window without a comprehensive accord on nuclear issues, sanctions relief, or freedom of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz. As of late August 2026, the White House has stated that no negotiations are underway, with Washington instead emphasizing economic pressure through additional sanctions. Iranian officials have conditioned any resumption on the US dropping its pressure campaign, while continuing separate discussions with Oman over Hormuz management. Qatari mediation, including a recent visit by the Qatari prime minister to Tehran, represents the primary backchannel activity, though no high-level bilateral round has been confirmed or scheduled before the August 31 cutoff. Historical patterns show technical talks occurring in venues such as Switzerland and Qatar under mediator facilitation, but current impasse and short timeline limit prospects for new direct attendance by principal negotiators.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ET
Volume
$101,396End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent diplomatic efforts between the US and Iran remain stalled following the expiration of the June 17 Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding and its 60-day window without a comprehensive accord on nuclear issues, sanctions relief, or freedom of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz. As of late August 2026, the White House has stated that no negotiations are underway, with Washington instead emphasizing economic pressure through additional sanctions. Iranian officials have conditioned any resumption on the US dropping its pressure campaign, while continuing separate discussions with Oman over Hormuz management. Qatari mediation, including a recent visit by the Qatari prime minister to Tehran, represents the primary backchannel activity, though no high-level bilateral round has been confirmed or scheduled before the August 31 cutoff. Historical patterns show technical talks occurring in venues such as Switzerland and Qatar under mediator facilitation, but current impasse and short timeline limit prospects for new direct attendance by principal negotiators.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$101,396End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent diplomatic efforts between the US and Iran remain stalled following the expiration of the June 17 Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding and its 60-day window without a comprehensive accord on nuclear issues, sanctions relief, or freedom of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz. As of late August 2026, the White House has stated that no negotiations are underway, with Washington instead emphasizing economic pressure through additional sanctions. Iranian officials have conditioned any resumption on the US dropping its pressure campaign, while continuing separate discussions with Oman over Hormuz management. Qatari mediation, including a recent visit by the Qatari prime minister to Tehran, represents the primary backchannel activity, though no high-level bilateral round has been confirmed or scheduled before the August 31 cutoff. Historical patterns show technical talks occurring in venues such as Switzerland and Qatar under mediator facilitation, but current impasse and short timeline limit prospects for new direct attendance by principal negotiators.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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