**Ongoing negotiations between Stripe, Advent International, and PayPal have not yet produced a signed agreement, supporting the 74.4% market-implied probability that no acquisition closes in 2026.** In July, Stripe and Advent submitted a $53.4 billion unsolicited bid at $60.50 per share—roughly a 28% premium—with $50 billion in committed bank financing, but PayPal’s board rejected it as inadequate and has since pushed for a higher valuation near $70 per share. Talks continued into mid-August with advisers engaged, yet the process involves regulatory reviews, financing finalization, and integration complexities for two major payments platforms handling combined volumes exceeding $3.7 trillion annually. With limited time remaining and PayPal executing an independent turnaround under new leadership—including cost reductions—the current pricing reflects trader caution on timely resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated26% chance
$82,361 Vol.
$82,361 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
26% chance
$82,361 Vol.
$82,361 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Paypal will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Stripe by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Ongoing negotiations between Stripe, Advent International, and PayPal have not yet produced a signed agreement, supporting the 74.4% market-implied probability that no acquisition closes in 2026.** In July, Stripe and Advent submitted a $53.4 billion unsolicited bid at $60.50 per share—roughly a 28% premium—with $50 billion in committed bank financing, but PayPal’s board rejected it as inadequate and has since pushed for a higher valuation near $70 per share. Talks continued into mid-August with advisers engaged, yet the process involves regulatory reviews, financing finalization, and integration complexities for two major payments platforms handling combined volumes exceeding $3.7 trillion annually. With limited time remaining and PayPal executing an independent turnaround under new leadership—including cost reductions—the current pricing reflects trader caution on timely resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Paypal will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Stripe by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 24, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
Volume
$82,361End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Feb 24, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Paypal will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Stripe by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Ongoing negotiations between Stripe, Advent International, and PayPal have not yet produced a signed agreement, supporting the 74.4% market-implied probability that no acquisition closes in 2026.** In July, Stripe and Advent submitted a $53.4 billion unsolicited bid at $60.50 per share—roughly a 28% premium—with $50 billion in committed bank financing, but PayPal’s board rejected it as inadequate and has since pushed for a higher valuation near $70 per share. Talks continued into mid-August with advisers engaged, yet the process involves regulatory reviews, financing finalization, and integration complexities for two major payments platforms handling combined volumes exceeding $3.7 trillion annually. With limited time remaining and PayPal executing an independent turnaround under new leadership—including cost reductions—the current pricing reflects trader caution on timely resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Paypal will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Stripe by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$82,361End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Feb 24, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Ongoing negotiations between Stripe, Advent International, and PayPal have not yet produced a signed agreement, supporting the 74.4% market-implied probability that no acquisition closes in 2026.** In July, Stripe and Advent submitted a $53.4 billion unsolicited bid at $60.50 per share—roughly a 28% premium—with $50 billion in committed bank financing, but PayPal’s board rejected it as inadequate and has since pushed for a higher valuation near $70 per share. Talks continued into mid-August with advisers engaged, yet the process involves regulatory reviews, financing finalization, and integration complexities for two major payments platforms handling combined volumes exceeding $3.7 trillion annually. With limited time remaining and PayPal executing an independent turnaround under new leadership—including cost reductions—the current pricing reflects trader caution on timely resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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