**Current 30-year fixed mortgage rates stand near 6.65–6.75% as of late August 2026, reflecting the 10-year Treasury yield plus a roughly 200-basis-point spread amid sticky inflation and geopolitical pressures.** July CPI rose 3.4% year-over-year, with energy prices up sharply due to supply shocks from the Middle East conflict, keeping core measures elevated above the Fed’s 2% target. The FOMC has held the federal funds rate steady in the 3.50–3.75% range, with some officials signaling potential hikes if inflation fails to moderate, while strong labor data and fiscal deficits support higher long-term yields. Traders price mortgage-rate paths primarily through 10-year yields and MBS spreads rather than short-term policy alone; the next CPI release on September 11 and upcoming FOMC communications remain key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities for any 2026 threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWill the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?
Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?
$50,792 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
↑ 7.50%
37%
↑ 7.25%
40%
↑ 7.00%
35%
↑ 6.75%
83%
↓ 6.50%
44%
↓ 6.25%
44%
↓ 6.00%
42%
↓ 5.90%
19%
↓ 5.70%
2%
↓ 5.50%
10%
$50,792 Vol.
↑ 7.50%
$0 Vol.
37%
↑ 7.25%
$62 Vol.
40%
↑ 7.00%
$64 Vol.
35%
↑ 6.75%
$181 Vol.
83%
↓ 6.50%
$0 Vol.
44%
↓ 6.25%
$0 Vol.
44%
↓ 6.00%
$0 Vol.
42%
↓ 5.90%
$6,201 Vol.
19%
↓ 5.70%
$7,209 Vol.
2%
↓ 5.50%
$72 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending after market creation and on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or beyond (equal to or above for ↑ HIGH rates, equal to or below for ↓ LOW rates) the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or beyond the listed rate for a qualifying week, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.**Current 30-year fixed mortgage rates stand near 6.65–6.75% as of late August 2026, reflecting the 10-year Treasury yield plus a roughly 200-basis-point spread amid sticky inflation and geopolitical pressures.** July CPI rose 3.4% year-over-year, with energy prices up sharply due to supply shocks from the Middle East conflict, keeping core measures elevated above the Fed’s 2% target. The FOMC has held the federal funds rate steady in the 3.50–3.75% range, with some officials signaling potential hikes if inflation fails to moderate, while strong labor data and fiscal deficits support higher long-term yields. Traders price mortgage-rate paths primarily through 10-year yields and MBS spreads rather than short-term policy alone; the next CPI release on September 11 and upcoming FOMC communications remain key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities for any 2026 threshold.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending after market creation and on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or beyond (equal to or above for ↑ HIGH rates, equal to or below for ↓ LOW rates) the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or beyond the listed rate for a qualifying week, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or beyond the listed rate for a qualifying week, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 3, 2026, 11:41 AM ET
Volume
$50,792End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending after market creation and on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or beyond (equal to or above for ↑ HIGH rates, equal to or below for ↓ LOW rates) the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or beyond the listed rate for a qualifying week, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.**Current 30-year fixed mortgage rates stand near 6.65–6.75% as of late August 2026, reflecting the 10-year Treasury yield plus a roughly 200-basis-point spread amid sticky inflation and geopolitical pressures.** July CPI rose 3.4% year-over-year, with energy prices up sharply due to supply shocks from the Middle East conflict, keeping core measures elevated above the Fed’s 2% target. The FOMC has held the federal funds rate steady in the 3.50–3.75% range, with some officials signaling potential hikes if inflation fails to moderate, while strong labor data and fiscal deficits support higher long-term yields. Traders price mortgage-rate paths primarily through 10-year yields and MBS spreads rather than short-term policy alone; the next CPI release on September 11 and upcoming FOMC communications remain key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities for any 2026 threshold.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending after market creation and on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or beyond (equal to or above for ↑ HIGH rates, equal to or below for ↓ LOW rates) the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or beyond the listed rate for a qualifying week, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or beyond the listed rate for a qualifying week, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
Volume
$50,792End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Current 30-year fixed mortgage rates stand near 6.65–6.75% as of late August 2026, reflecting the 10-year Treasury yield plus a roughly 200-basis-point spread amid sticky inflation and geopolitical pressures.** July CPI rose 3.4% year-over-year, with energy prices up sharply due to supply shocks from the Middle East conflict, keeping core measures elevated above the Fed’s 2% target. The FOMC has held the federal funds rate steady in the 3.50–3.75% range, with some officials signaling potential hikes if inflation fails to moderate, while strong labor data and fiscal deficits support higher long-term yields. Traders price mortgage-rate paths primarily through 10-year yields and MBS spreads rather than short-term policy alone; the next CPI release on September 11 and upcoming FOMC communications remain key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities for any 2026 threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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