Gold prices near $4,430–$4,480 per ounce reflect shifting trader expectations for Federal Reserve policy ahead of the September 15–16 FOMC meeting. Recent volatility stems from mixed signals on rate hikes: stronger August nonfarm payrolls lifted odds of a September increase, pressuring the non-yielding metal via firmer Treasury yields and the dollar, while softer comments from Governor Christopher Waller and prior disinflation trends prompted rebounds. The primary near-term catalyst remains next week’s August CPI and PPI releases, which will clarify whether inflation progress supports a hold or reinforces tightening. Broader support persists from central bank purchases and geopolitical risks, though higher real yields cap upside in the near term.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated↑ $4,750
24%
↑ $4,700
26%
↑ $4,650
52%
↑ $4,600
52%
↑ $4,550
52%
↑ $4,500
72%
↑ $4,450
77%
↓ $4,400
75%
↓ $4,350
70%
↓ $4,300
52%
↓ $4,250
50%
↓ $4,200
95%
↓ $4,150
51%
↓ $4,100
1%
$2,427 Vol.
↑ $4,750
24%
↑ $4,700
26%
↑ $4,650
52%
↑ $4,600
52%
↑ $4,550
52%
↑ $4,500
72%
↑ $4,450
77%
↓ $4,400
75%
↓ $4,350
70%
↓ $4,300
52%
↓ $4,250
50%
↓ $4,200
95%
↓ $4,150
51%
↓ $4,100
1%
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Gold prices near $4,430–$4,480 per ounce reflect shifting trader expectations for Federal Reserve policy ahead of the September 15–16 FOMC meeting. Recent volatility stems from mixed signals on rate hikes: stronger August nonfarm payrolls lifted odds of a September increase, pressuring the non-yielding metal via firmer Treasury yields and the dollar, while softer comments from Governor Christopher Waller and prior disinflation trends prompted rebounds. The primary near-term catalyst remains next week’s August CPI and PPI releases, which will clarify whether inflation progress supports a hold or reinforces tightening. Broader support persists from central bank purchases and geopolitical risks, though higher real yields cap upside in the near term.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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