Dauda Lawal’s position as the All Progressives Congress consensus candidate for the February 2027 Zamfara gubernatorial election underpins the elevated trader pricing on his outcome. Recent party affirmation exercises across all 14 local government areas produced unanimous support exceeding 300,000 votes, following his clearance by the APC national screening committee and endorsements from key stakeholders including former governors. This consolidation within the state’s dominant party structure has limited viable alternatives. Opposition aspirants such as Mahadi Aliyu Gusau face documented internal party disputes and candidate-upload challenges on the INEC portal, while other listed contenders operate from smaller platforms with narrower organizational reach. Scheduled primaries and ongoing security coordination efforts continue to shape assessments of electoral viability ahead of the vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedDauda Lawal 87%
Mahadi Aliyu Gusau 8%
Hamza Musa Mai Bulawus 6%
Ahmed Yahuza 2.6%
NEW
NEW
Feb 6, 2027
Dauda Lawal
87%
Mahadi Aliyu Gusau
8%
Hamza Musa Mai Bulawus
6%
Ahmed Yahuza
3%
Dauda Lawal 87%
Mahadi Aliyu Gusau 8%
Hamza Musa Mai Bulawus 6%
Ahmed Yahuza 2.6%
NEW
NEW
Feb 6, 2027
Dauda Lawal
$1,476 Vol.
87%
Mahadi Aliyu Gusau
$53 Vol.
8%
Hamza Musa Mai Bulawus
$47 Vol.
6%
Ahmed Yahuza
$119 Vol.
3%
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Zamfara State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Zamfara State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Dauda Lawal’s position as the All Progressives Congress consensus candidate for the February 2027 Zamfara gubernatorial election underpins the elevated trader pricing on his outcome. Recent party affirmation exercises across all 14 local government areas produced unanimous support exceeding 300,000 votes, following his clearance by the APC national screening committee and endorsements from key stakeholders including former governors. This consolidation within the state’s dominant party structure has limited viable alternatives. Opposition aspirants such as Mahadi Aliyu Gusau face documented internal party disputes and candidate-upload challenges on the INEC portal, while other listed contenders operate from smaller platforms with narrower organizational reach. Scheduled primaries and ongoing security coordination efforts continue to shape assessments of electoral viability ahead of the vote.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Zamfara State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Zamfara State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Zamfara State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 5:06 PM ET
Volume
$1,694End Date
Feb 6, 2027Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 5:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Zamfara State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Zamfara State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Dauda Lawal’s position as the All Progressives Congress consensus candidate for the February 2027 Zamfara gubernatorial election underpins the elevated trader pricing on his outcome. Recent party affirmation exercises across all 14 local government areas produced unanimous support exceeding 300,000 votes, following his clearance by the APC national screening committee and endorsements from key stakeholders including former governors. This consolidation within the state’s dominant party structure has limited viable alternatives. Opposition aspirants such as Mahadi Aliyu Gusau face documented internal party disputes and candidate-upload challenges on the INEC portal, while other listed contenders operate from smaller platforms with narrower organizational reach. Scheduled primaries and ongoing security coordination efforts continue to shape assessments of electoral viability ahead of the vote.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Zamfara State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Zamfara State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Zamfara State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Volume
$1,694End Date
Feb 6, 2027Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 5:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Dauda Lawal’s position as the All Progressives Congress consensus candidate for the February 2027 Zamfara gubernatorial election underpins the elevated trader pricing on his outcome. Recent party affirmation exercises across all 14 local government areas produced unanimous support exceeding 300,000 votes, following his clearance by the APC national screening committee and endorsements from key stakeholders including former governors. This consolidation within the state’s dominant party structure has limited viable alternatives. Opposition aspirants such as Mahadi Aliyu Gusau face documented internal party disputes and candidate-upload challenges on the INEC portal, while other listed contenders operate from smaller platforms with narrower organizational reach. Scheduled primaries and ongoing security coordination efforts continue to shape assessments of electoral viability ahead of the vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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