Alabama's 1st Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat with a Partisan Voter Index of R+17, reflected in unanimous forecaster ratings of Safe or Solid Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Recent redistricting strengthened the GOP tilt by incorporating more of Mobile and Baldwin counties, while the August 11 special primary advanced established Republican contenders such as former Rep. Jerry Carl over a crowded field. The Democratic nominee, Clyde Jones, faces the race with minimal fundraising and no primary opposition. These structural and candidate factors underpin trader consensus around a Republican hold. Late-breaking developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the nominee, or an unforeseen national shift could still alter the outcome before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAL-01 House Election Winner
AL-01 House Election Winner
$47,739 Vol.
$47,739 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
95%
Democratic Party
2%
$47,739 Vol.
$47,739 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$21,353 Vol.
95%
Democratic Party
$26,386 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Alabama's 1st Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat with a Partisan Voter Index of R+17, reflected in unanimous forecaster ratings of Safe or Solid Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Recent redistricting strengthened the GOP tilt by incorporating more of Mobile and Baldwin counties, while the August 11 special primary advanced established Republican contenders such as former Rep. Jerry Carl over a crowded field. The Democratic nominee, Clyde Jones, faces the race with minimal fundraising and no primary opposition. These structural and candidate factors underpin trader consensus around a Republican hold. Late-breaking developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the nominee, or an unforeseen national shift could still alter the outcome before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 27, 2026, 11:53 PM ET
Volume
$47,739End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 27, 2026, 11:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Alabama's 1st Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat with a Partisan Voter Index of R+17, reflected in unanimous forecaster ratings of Safe or Solid Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Recent redistricting strengthened the GOP tilt by incorporating more of Mobile and Baldwin counties, while the August 11 special primary advanced established Republican contenders such as former Rep. Jerry Carl over a crowded field. The Democratic nominee, Clyde Jones, faces the race with minimal fundraising and no primary opposition. These structural and candidate factors underpin trader consensus around a Republican hold. Late-breaking developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the nominee, or an unforeseen national shift could still alter the outcome before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$47,739End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 27, 2026, 11:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Alabama's 1st Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat with a Partisan Voter Index of R+17, reflected in unanimous forecaster ratings of Safe or Solid Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Recent redistricting strengthened the GOP tilt by incorporating more of Mobile and Baldwin counties, while the August 11 special primary advanced established Republican contenders such as former Rep. Jerry Carl over a crowded field. The Democratic nominee, Clyde Jones, faces the race with minimal fundraising and no primary opposition. These structural and candidate factors underpin trader consensus around a Republican hold. Late-breaking developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the nominee, or an unforeseen national shift could still alter the outcome before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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