**Rapid revenue growth and banker guidance for a record IPO are anchoring trader expectations for an Anthropic debut above $1.8 trillion.** The company’s annualized run rate surged from roughly $9 billion at the end of 2025 to $47 billion by May and $65 billion by July 2026, with Q2 revenue reaching $11.5 billion and delivering its first quarterly profit. Bankers have discussed a potential $100 billion raise valuing the firm near $2 trillion, exceeding SpaceX’s June listing, while a confidential S-1 filed in June positions a fall 2026 debut, likely October, ahead of OpenAI. Secondary-market marks near $1.2 trillion and projections of $190–200 billion revenue by 2028 further support the 85.5% implied probability for the top bracket. Recent enterprise expansions, including deeper Salesforce integrations, reinforce demand for Claude models. Resolution hinges on the post-IPO closing market cap, with any slippage in execution or macro sentiment representing the main swing factors.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated1.8T+ 86%
1.5–1.8T 8.8%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 2.3%
1.2–1.5T 1.4%
$373,185 Vol.
$373,185 Vol.
Dec 30, 2027
<0.6T
1%
0.6–0.9T
1%
0.9–1.2T
1%
1.2–1.5T
1%
1.5–1.8T
9%
1.8T+
86%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
2%
1.8T+ 86%
1.5–1.8T 8.8%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 2.3%
1.2–1.5T 1.4%
$373,185 Vol.
$373,185 Vol.
Dec 30, 2027
<0.6T
$20,138 Vol.
1%
0.6–0.9T
$25,475 Vol.
1%
0.9–1.2T
$24,840 Vol.
1%
1.2–1.5T
$33,323 Vol.
1%
1.5–1.8T
$39,423 Vol.
9%
1.8T+
$179,923 Vol.
86%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$50,063 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.**Rapid revenue growth and banker guidance for a record IPO are anchoring trader expectations for an Anthropic debut above $1.8 trillion.** The company’s annualized run rate surged from roughly $9 billion at the end of 2025 to $47 billion by May and $65 billion by July 2026, with Q2 revenue reaching $11.5 billion and delivering its first quarterly profit. Bankers have discussed a potential $100 billion raise valuing the firm near $2 trillion, exceeding SpaceX’s June listing, while a confidential S-1 filed in June positions a fall 2026 debut, likely October, ahead of OpenAI. Secondary-market marks near $1.2 trillion and projections of $190–200 billion revenue by 2028 further support the 85.5% implied probability for the top bracket. Recent enterprise expansions, including deeper Salesforce integrations, reinforce demand for Claude models. Resolution hinges on the post-IPO closing market cap, with any slippage in execution or macro sentiment representing the main swing factors.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Market Opened: Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ET
Volume
$373,185End Date
Dec 31, 2027Market Opened
Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.**Rapid revenue growth and banker guidance for a record IPO are anchoring trader expectations for an Anthropic debut above $1.8 trillion.** The company’s annualized run rate surged from roughly $9 billion at the end of 2025 to $47 billion by May and $65 billion by July 2026, with Q2 revenue reaching $11.5 billion and delivering its first quarterly profit. Bankers have discussed a potential $100 billion raise valuing the firm near $2 trillion, exceeding SpaceX’s June listing, while a confidential S-1 filed in June positions a fall 2026 debut, likely October, ahead of OpenAI. Secondary-market marks near $1.2 trillion and projections of $190–200 billion revenue by 2028 further support the 85.5% implied probability for the top bracket. Recent enterprise expansions, including deeper Salesforce integrations, reinforce demand for Claude models. Resolution hinges on the post-IPO closing market cap, with any slippage in execution or macro sentiment representing the main swing factors.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$373,185End Date
Dec 31, 2027Market Opened
Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Rapid revenue growth and banker guidance for a record IPO are anchoring trader expectations for an Anthropic debut above $1.8 trillion.** The company’s annualized run rate surged from roughly $9 billion at the end of 2025 to $47 billion by May and $65 billion by July 2026, with Q2 revenue reaching $11.5 billion and delivering its first quarterly profit. Bankers have discussed a potential $100 billion raise valuing the firm near $2 trillion, exceeding SpaceX’s June listing, while a confidential S-1 filed in June positions a fall 2026 debut, likely October, ahead of OpenAI. Secondary-market marks near $1.2 trillion and projections of $190–200 billion revenue by 2028 further support the 85.5% implied probability for the top bracket. Recent enterprise expansions, including deeper Salesforce integrations, reinforce demand for Claude models. Resolution hinges on the post-IPO closing market cap, with any slippage in execution or macro sentiment representing the main swing factors.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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