Jacqui Irwin secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 top-two primary for the open California 26th congressional district seat with roughly 41 percent of the vote, advancing alongside Republican Sam Gallucci. The district maintains a solid Democratic lean of D+13 to D+15 following 2025 redistricting, supported by a 43-28 percent Democratic voter registration advantage across Ventura and Los Angeles counties. Irwin benefits from endorsements by retiring incumbent Julia Brownley and U.S. senators Alex Padilla and Adam Schiff, alongside fundraising strength and the absence of competitive polling data. Nonpartisan forecasts rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader pricing reflects these structural and campaign fundamentals ahead of the November 3 general election, though late developments such as a major scandal or national partisan shift could alter the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCA-26 House Election Winner
CA-26 House Election Winner
$32,175 Vol.
$32,175 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$32,175 Vol.
$32,175 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$16,426 Vol.
95%
Republican Party
$15,749 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jacqui Irwin secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 top-two primary for the open California 26th congressional district seat with roughly 41 percent of the vote, advancing alongside Republican Sam Gallucci. The district maintains a solid Democratic lean of D+13 to D+15 following 2025 redistricting, supported by a 43-28 percent Democratic voter registration advantage across Ventura and Los Angeles counties. Irwin benefits from endorsements by retiring incumbent Julia Brownley and U.S. senators Alex Padilla and Adam Schiff, alongside fundraising strength and the absence of competitive polling data. Nonpartisan forecasts rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader pricing reflects these structural and campaign fundamentals ahead of the November 3 general election, though late developments such as a major scandal or national partisan shift could alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Volume
$32,175End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jacqui Irwin secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 top-two primary for the open California 26th congressional district seat with roughly 41 percent of the vote, advancing alongside Republican Sam Gallucci. The district maintains a solid Democratic lean of D+13 to D+15 following 2025 redistricting, supported by a 43-28 percent Democratic voter registration advantage across Ventura and Los Angeles counties. Irwin benefits from endorsements by retiring incumbent Julia Brownley and U.S. senators Alex Padilla and Adam Schiff, alongside fundraising strength and the absence of competitive polling data. Nonpartisan forecasts rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader pricing reflects these structural and campaign fundamentals ahead of the November 3 general election, though late developments such as a major scandal or national partisan shift could alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$32,175End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jacqui Irwin secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 top-two primary for the open California 26th congressional district seat with roughly 41 percent of the vote, advancing alongside Republican Sam Gallucci. The district maintains a solid Democratic lean of D+13 to D+15 following 2025 redistricting, supported by a 43-28 percent Democratic voter registration advantage across Ventura and Los Angeles counties. Irwin benefits from endorsements by retiring incumbent Julia Brownley and U.S. senators Alex Padilla and Adam Schiff, alongside fundraising strength and the absence of competitive polling data. Nonpartisan forecasts rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader pricing reflects these structural and campaign fundamentals ahead of the November 3 general election, though late developments such as a major scandal or national partisan shift could alter the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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