Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas” video holds a clear lead in the CMA Music Video of the Year market at 67.5% implied probability following the September 10 nominations announcement. Langley’s nine total nods, including Single, Song, and Album of the Year for the track and her *Dandelion* project, reflect its record-setting chart run and broad industry momentum. The other four nominees—“Dry Spell” (Kacey Musgraves), “Gary” (Stephen Wilson Jr.), “The Fall” (Cody Johnson), and “White Horse” (Chris Stapleton)—sit at lower odds consistent with fewer precursor signals and Langley’s frontrunner status across categories. With the November 18 ceremony still two months away, traders are pricing in the likelihood of her video prevailing on the strength of commercial dominance and multiple guild-level nods.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCMA Music Video of the Year 2026
CMA Music Video of the Year 2026
Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley) 68%
Gary (Stephen Wilson Jr.) 21%
Dry Spell (Kacey Musgraves) 4.0%
The Fall (Cody Johnson) 4.0%
NEW
NEW
Nov 18, 2026
Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley)
68%
Gary (Stephen Wilson Jr.)
21%
Dry Spell (Kacey Musgraves)
4%
The Fall (Cody Johnson)
4%
White Horse (Chris Stapleton)
4%
Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley) 68%
Gary (Stephen Wilson Jr.) 21%
Dry Spell (Kacey Musgraves) 4.0%
The Fall (Cody Johnson) 4.0%
NEW
NEW
Nov 18, 2026
Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley)
$376 Vol.
68%
Gary (Stephen Wilson Jr.)
$183 Vol.
21%
Dry Spell (Kacey Musgraves)
$40 Vol.
4%
The Fall (Cody Johnson)
$60 Vol.
4%
White Horse (Chris Stapleton)
$20 Vol.
4%
The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed music video that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Music Video of the Year.
If a listed music video is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Music Video of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning music video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas” video holds a clear lead in the CMA Music Video of the Year market at 67.5% implied probability following the September 10 nominations announcement. Langley’s nine total nods, including Single, Song, and Album of the Year for the track and her *Dandelion* project, reflect its record-setting chart run and broad industry momentum. The other four nominees—“Dry Spell” (Kacey Musgraves), “Gary” (Stephen Wilson Jr.), “The Fall” (Cody Johnson), and “White Horse” (Chris Stapleton)—sit at lower odds consistent with fewer precursor signals and Langley’s frontrunner status across categories. With the November 18 ceremony still two months away, traders are pricing in the likelihood of her video prevailing on the strength of commercial dominance and multiple guild-level nods.
The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed music video that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Music Video of the Year.
If a listed music video is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Music Video of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning music video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed music video that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Music Video of the Year.
If a listed music video is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Music Video of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning music video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Sep 17, 2026, 7:53 PM ET
Volume
$679End Date
Nov 19, 2026Market Opened
Sep 17, 2026, 7:53 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed music video that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Music Video of the Year.
If a listed music video is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Music Video of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning music video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas” video holds a clear lead in the CMA Music Video of the Year market at 67.5% implied probability following the September 10 nominations announcement. Langley’s nine total nods, including Single, Song, and Album of the Year for the track and her *Dandelion* project, reflect its record-setting chart run and broad industry momentum. The other four nominees—“Dry Spell” (Kacey Musgraves), “Gary” (Stephen Wilson Jr.), “The Fall” (Cody Johnson), and “White Horse” (Chris Stapleton)—sit at lower odds consistent with fewer precursor signals and Langley’s frontrunner status across categories. With the November 18 ceremony still two months away, traders are pricing in the likelihood of her video prevailing on the strength of commercial dominance and multiple guild-level nods.
The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed music video that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Music Video of the Year.
If a listed music video is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Music Video of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning music video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed music video that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Music Video of the Year.
If a listed music video is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Music Video of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning music video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$679End Date
Nov 19, 2026Market Opened
Sep 17, 2026, 7:53 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas” video holds a clear lead in the CMA Music Video of the Year market at 67.5% implied probability following the September 10 nominations announcement. Langley’s nine total nods, including Single, Song, and Album of the Year for the track and her *Dandelion* project, reflect its record-setting chart run and broad industry momentum. The other four nominees—“Dry Spell” (Kacey Musgraves), “Gary” (Stephen Wilson Jr.), “The Fall” (Cody Johnson), and “White Horse” (Chris Stapleton)—sit at lower odds consistent with fewer precursor signals and Langley’s frontrunner status across categories. With the November 18 ceremony still two months away, traders are pricing in the likelihood of her video prevailing on the strength of commercial dominance and multiple guild-level nods.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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