Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas” stands as the clear frontrunner for CMA Single of the Year, with its record-shattering run atop the Billboard Hot 100 and Hot Country Songs charts driving overwhelming trader consensus. The track’s 20-plus weeks at No. 1, triple-crown chart sweep, and prior ACM wins have built unstoppable momentum, especially after Langley earned nine 2026 CMA nominations, including dual Single nods for this song and “Be Her.” Nominations announced in mid-September highlighted her dominance alongside entries from Taylor Swift’s “I Knew It, I Knew You,” Lainey Wilson’s “Somewhere Over Laredo,” and Cody Johnson’s “The Fall.” With the November 18 ceremony approaching, recent radio airplay gains and crossover streaming metrics reinforce why the market assigns far lower implied probabilities to the other nominees.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCMA Single of the Year 2026
CMA Single of the Year 2026
Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley) 70%
I Knew It, I Knew You (Taylor Swift) 12%
Somewhere Over Laredo (Lainey Wilson) 10%
The Fall (Cody Johnson) 7.4%
NEW
NEW
Nov 18, 2026
Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley)
70%
I Knew It, I Knew You (Taylor Swift)
12%
Somewhere Over Laredo (Lainey Wilson)
12%
The Fall (Cody Johnson)
7%
Be Her (Ella Langley)
4%
Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley) 70%
I Knew It, I Knew You (Taylor Swift) 12%
Somewhere Over Laredo (Lainey Wilson) 10%
The Fall (Cody Johnson) 7.4%
NEW
NEW
Nov 18, 2026
Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley)
$73 Vol.
70%
I Knew It, I Knew You (Taylor Swift)
$23 Vol.
12%
Somewhere Over Laredo (Lainey Wilson)
$63 Vol.
12%
The Fall (Cody Johnson)
$33 Vol.
7%
Be Her (Ella Langley)
$200 Vol.
4%
The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed single that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Single of the Year.
If a listed single is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Single of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning single whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas” stands as the clear frontrunner for CMA Single of the Year, with its record-shattering run atop the Billboard Hot 100 and Hot Country Songs charts driving overwhelming trader consensus. The track’s 20-plus weeks at No. 1, triple-crown chart sweep, and prior ACM wins have built unstoppable momentum, especially after Langley earned nine 2026 CMA nominations, including dual Single nods for this song and “Be Her.” Nominations announced in mid-September highlighted her dominance alongside entries from Taylor Swift’s “I Knew It, I Knew You,” Lainey Wilson’s “Somewhere Over Laredo,” and Cody Johnson’s “The Fall.” With the November 18 ceremony approaching, recent radio airplay gains and crossover streaming metrics reinforce why the market assigns far lower implied probabilities to the other nominees.
The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed single that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Single of the Year.
If a listed single is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Single of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning single whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed single that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Single of the Year.
If a listed single is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Single of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning single whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Sep 17, 2026, 7:53 PM ET
Volume
$392End Date
Nov 19, 2026Market Opened
Sep 17, 2026, 7:53 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed single that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Single of the Year.
If a listed single is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Single of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning single whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas” stands as the clear frontrunner for CMA Single of the Year, with its record-shattering run atop the Billboard Hot 100 and Hot Country Songs charts driving overwhelming trader consensus. The track’s 20-plus weeks at No. 1, triple-crown chart sweep, and prior ACM wins have built unstoppable momentum, especially after Langley earned nine 2026 CMA nominations, including dual Single nods for this song and “Be Her.” Nominations announced in mid-September highlighted her dominance alongside entries from Taylor Swift’s “I Knew It, I Knew You,” Lainey Wilson’s “Somewhere Over Laredo,” and Cody Johnson’s “The Fall.” With the November 18 ceremony approaching, recent radio airplay gains and crossover streaming metrics reinforce why the market assigns far lower implied probabilities to the other nominees.
The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed single that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Single of the Year.
If a listed single is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Single of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning single whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed single that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Single of the Year.
If a listed single is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Single of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning single whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$392End Date
Nov 19, 2026Market Opened
Sep 17, 2026, 7:53 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas” stands as the clear frontrunner for CMA Single of the Year, with its record-shattering run atop the Billboard Hot 100 and Hot Country Songs charts driving overwhelming trader consensus. The track’s 20-plus weeks at No. 1, triple-crown chart sweep, and prior ACM wins have built unstoppable momentum, especially after Langley earned nine 2026 CMA nominations, including dual Single nods for this song and “Be Her.” Nominations announced in mid-September highlighted her dominance alongside entries from Taylor Swift’s “I Knew It, I Knew You,” Lainey Wilson’s “Somewhere Over Laredo,” and Cody Johnson’s “The Fall.” With the November 18 ceremony approaching, recent radio airplay gains and crossover streaming metrics reinforce why the market assigns far lower implied probabilities to the other nominees.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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