Discord's official status page has recorded only minor, quickly resolved issues in recent months—such as brief messaging failures, API errors, and voice connection problems in July and August 2026—none classified as Critical (red). Traders assign low implied probability (often under 20-30% for near-term expiries like June 30) to a qualifying incident by target dates, reflecting the platform's track record of containing outages below critical thresholds despite its scale and gaming-centric user base. A 2025 third-party support vendor breach exposed limited government ID data for roughly 70,000 users but left core systems untouched; more recent events like the GTA 6 leak subpoena process and prior AI moderation bugs have not triggered status-page red incidents. Upcoming catalysts include any potential escalation from legal data requests or infrastructure load during major game launches, though Discord's mitigation improvements and rapid incident handling continue to anchor market sentiment toward "No."
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
Aug 31, 2026
August 31
7%
September 30
43%
$6,780 Vol.
August 31
$6,132 Vol.
7%
September 30
$647 Vol.
43%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Discord experiences any incident classified as a 'Major Outage' (red) as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only incidents affecting Discord services or components will be considered. A 'Partial Outage' (orange) does not qualify.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as a 'Major Outage' (red) when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first outage classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s outage classification to 'Major Outage' (red) will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or https://discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Discord’s “Partial Outage” classification is orange, while “Major Outage” is red. A Partial Outage does not qualify.Discord's official status page has recorded only minor, quickly resolved issues in recent months—such as brief messaging failures, API errors, and voice connection problems in July and August 2026—none classified as Critical (red). Traders assign low implied probability (often under 20-30% for near-term expiries like June 30) to a qualifying incident by target dates, reflecting the platform's track record of containing outages below critical thresholds despite its scale and gaming-centric user base. A 2025 third-party support vendor breach exposed limited government ID data for roughly 70,000 users but left core systems untouched; more recent events like the GTA 6 leak subpoena process and prior AI moderation bugs have not triggered status-page red incidents. Upcoming catalysts include any potential escalation from legal data requests or infrastructure load during major game launches, though Discord's mitigation improvements and rapid incident handling continue to anchor market sentiment toward "No."
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Discord experiences any incident classified as a 'Major Outage' (red) as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only incidents affecting Discord services or components will be considered. A 'Partial Outage' (orange) does not qualify.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as a 'Major Outage' (red) when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first outage classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s outage classification to 'Major Outage' (red) will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or https://discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Discord’s “Partial Outage” classification is orange, while “Major Outage” is red. A Partial Outage does not qualify.
Only incidents affecting Discord services or components will be considered. A 'Partial Outage' (orange) does not qualify.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as a 'Major Outage' (red) when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first outage classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s outage classification to 'Major Outage' (red) will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or https://discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Discord’s “Partial Outage” classification is orange, while “Major Outage” is red. A Partial Outage does not qualify.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 7:16 PM ET
Volume
$6,780End Date
Oct 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 7:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Discord experiences any incident classified as a 'Major Outage' (red) as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only incidents affecting Discord services or components will be considered. A 'Partial Outage' (orange) does not qualify.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as a 'Major Outage' (red) when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first outage classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s outage classification to 'Major Outage' (red) will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or https://discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Discord’s “Partial Outage” classification is orange, while “Major Outage” is red. A Partial Outage does not qualify.Discord's official status page has recorded only minor, quickly resolved issues in recent months—such as brief messaging failures, API errors, and voice connection problems in July and August 2026—none classified as Critical (red). Traders assign low implied probability (often under 20-30% for near-term expiries like June 30) to a qualifying incident by target dates, reflecting the platform's track record of containing outages below critical thresholds despite its scale and gaming-centric user base. A 2025 third-party support vendor breach exposed limited government ID data for roughly 70,000 users but left core systems untouched; more recent events like the GTA 6 leak subpoena process and prior AI moderation bugs have not triggered status-page red incidents. Upcoming catalysts include any potential escalation from legal data requests or infrastructure load during major game launches, though Discord's mitigation improvements and rapid incident handling continue to anchor market sentiment toward "No."
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Discord experiences any incident classified as a 'Major Outage' (red) as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only incidents affecting Discord services or components will be considered. A 'Partial Outage' (orange) does not qualify.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as a 'Major Outage' (red) when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first outage classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s outage classification to 'Major Outage' (red) will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or https://discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Discord’s “Partial Outage” classification is orange, while “Major Outage” is red. A Partial Outage does not qualify.
Only incidents affecting Discord services or components will be considered. A 'Partial Outage' (orange) does not qualify.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as a 'Major Outage' (red) when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first outage classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s outage classification to 'Major Outage' (red) will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or https://discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Discord’s “Partial Outage” classification is orange, while “Major Outage” is red. A Partial Outage does not qualify.
Volume
$6,780End Date
Oct 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 7:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Discord's official status page has recorded only minor, quickly resolved issues in recent months—such as brief messaging failures, API errors, and voice connection problems in July and August 2026—none classified as Critical (red). Traders assign low implied probability (often under 20-30% for near-term expiries like June 30) to a qualifying incident by target dates, reflecting the platform's track record of containing outages below critical thresholds despite its scale and gaming-centric user base. A 2025 third-party support vendor breach exposed limited government ID data for roughly 70,000 users but left core systems untouched; more recent events like the GTA 6 leak subpoena process and prior AI moderation bugs have not triggered status-page red incidents. Upcoming catalysts include any potential escalation from legal data requests or infrastructure load during major game launches, though Discord's mitigation improvements and rapid incident handling continue to anchor market sentiment toward "No."
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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