Incumbent Democrat Rosa DeLauro, first elected in 1990, faces Republican Christopher Lancia in Connecticut's 3rd congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in recent presidential margins and partisan voting index data, combined with DeLauro's decades of incumbency, name recognition, and fundraising edge, underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 95.5%. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Sabato, and others classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, with no competitive polling or primary challenges emerging after August 11. A late scandal, acute health development, or unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow the margin, though historical patterns in this district suggest limited room for such shifts before Election Day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCT-03 House Election Winner
CT-03 House Election Winner
$18,223 Vol.
$18,223 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
5%
$18,223 Vol.
$18,223 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$4,208 Vol.
96%
Republican Party
$14,015 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Rosa DeLauro, first elected in 1990, faces Republican Christopher Lancia in Connecticut's 3rd congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in recent presidential margins and partisan voting index data, combined with DeLauro's decades of incumbency, name recognition, and fundraising edge, underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 95.5%. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Sabato, and others classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, with no competitive polling or primary challenges emerging after August 11. A late scandal, acute health development, or unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow the margin, though historical patterns in this district suggest limited room for such shifts before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volume
$18,223End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Rosa DeLauro, first elected in 1990, faces Republican Christopher Lancia in Connecticut's 3rd congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in recent presidential margins and partisan voting index data, combined with DeLauro's decades of incumbency, name recognition, and fundraising edge, underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 95.5%. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Sabato, and others classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, with no competitive polling or primary challenges emerging after August 11. A late scandal, acute health development, or unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow the margin, though historical patterns in this district suggest limited room for such shifts before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$18,223End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Rosa DeLauro, first elected in 1990, faces Republican Christopher Lancia in Connecticut's 3rd congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in recent presidential margins and partisan voting index data, combined with DeLauro's decades of incumbency, name recognition, and fundraising edge, underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 95.5%. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Sabato, and others classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, with no competitive polling or primary challenges emerging after August 11. A late scandal, acute health development, or unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow the margin, though historical patterns in this district suggest limited room for such shifts before Election Day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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