Kate O’Flynn leads the market at 64.7% implied probability thanks to “Widow’s Bay”’s breakout status as the season’s buzziest new comedy, earning 19 Emmy nominations and widespread critical praise for her sardonic turn as a political assistant. The Apple TV+ horror-comedy’s strong reviews, TCA recognition, and word-of-mouth momentum have shifted voter narrative away from returning contenders, boosting O’Flynn over last year’s winner Hannah Einbinder (24.5%), whose “Hacks” submission faces a tighter race amid the show’s final-season push. Lower-priced options like Janelle James, Michelle Pfeiffer, Megan Stalter, Dale Dickey, and Jessica Williams trail due to less dominant campaign traction and competition within their ensembles. The September 14 ceremony and any late guild or critics’ awards could still influence final balloting in this closely watched category.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedEmmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series
Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series
Kate O’Flynn – “Widow’s Bay” 64.7%
Hannah Einbinder – “Hacks” 25%
Megan Stalter – “Hacks” 4.3%
Michelle Pfeiffer – “Margo’s Got Money Troubles” 3.9%
$28,992 Vol.
$28,992 Vol.
Kate O’Flynn – “Widow’s Bay”
65%
Hannah Einbinder – “Hacks”
25%
Megan Stalter – “Hacks”
4%
Michelle Pfeiffer – “Margo’s Got Money Troubles”
4%
Janelle James – “Abbott Elementary”
3%
Dale Dickey – “Widow’s Bay”
2%
Jessica Williams – “Shrinking”
2%
Kate O’Flynn – “Widow’s Bay” 64.7%
Hannah Einbinder – “Hacks” 25%
Megan Stalter – “Hacks” 4.3%
Michelle Pfeiffer – “Margo’s Got Money Troubles” 3.9%
$28,992 Vol.
$28,992 Vol.
Kate O’Flynn – “Widow’s Bay”
65%
Hannah Einbinder – “Hacks”
25%
Megan Stalter – “Hacks”
4%
Michelle Pfeiffer – “Margo’s Got Money Troubles”
4%
Janelle James – “Abbott Elementary”
3%
Dale Dickey – “Widow’s Bay”
2%
Jessica Williams – “Shrinking”
2%
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 9, 2026, 9:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Kate O’Flynn leads the market at 64.7% implied probability thanks to “Widow’s Bay”’s breakout status as the season’s buzziest new comedy, earning 19 Emmy nominations and widespread critical praise for her sardonic turn as a political assistant. The Apple TV+ horror-comedy’s strong reviews, TCA recognition, and word-of-mouth momentum have shifted voter narrative away from returning contenders, boosting O’Flynn over last year’s winner Hannah Einbinder (24.5%), whose “Hacks” submission faces a tighter race amid the show’s final-season push. Lower-priced options like Janelle James, Michelle Pfeiffer, Megan Stalter, Dale Dickey, and Jessica Williams trail due to less dominant campaign traction and competition within their ensembles. The September 14 ceremony and any late guild or critics’ awards could still influence final balloting in this closely watched category.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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