Incumbent Republican Scott Franklin faces Democrat Curtis Gibson and an independent in Florida’s 18th congressional district on November 3, 2026, following canceled primaries. The seat carries an R+8 Cook PVI and delivered Franklin a 65% victory in 2024. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican due to the district’s partisan composition, Franklin’s established fundraising and endorsements, and Gibson’s limited campaign resources. Recent primary outcomes and absence of competitive challengers have reinforced trader expectations of continued Republican control.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedFL-18 House Election Winner
$30,324 Vol.
$30,324 Vol.
Republican Party
88%
Democratic Party
12%
$30,324 Vol.
$30,324 Vol.
Republican Party
88%
Democratic Party
12%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Scott Franklin faces Democrat Curtis Gibson and an independent in Florida’s 18th congressional district on November 3, 2026, following canceled primaries. The seat carries an R+8 Cook PVI and delivered Franklin a 65% victory in 2024. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican due to the district’s partisan composition, Franklin’s established fundraising and endorsements, and Gibson’s limited campaign resources. Recent primary outcomes and absence of competitive challengers have reinforced trader expectations of continued Republican control.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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