**DreamWorks Animation’s original “Forgotten Island,” set for wide release September 25, faces a late-September slot with modest awareness for a non-franchise title.** Early tracking from Box Office Pro places domestic opening weekend expectations in the $20–30 million range, aligning with comparable late-September animated releases such as Abominable ($20.6M) and The Lego Ninjago Movie ($20.4M). Market-implied odds reflect this uncertainty, with the 19–22 million bracket holding the highest probability at 23.5 percent amid closely bunched outcomes. Key variables include the effectiveness of the marketing push for an unproven IP drawing on Philippine mythology, potential competition from the Avengers: Endgame Encore re-release, and whether positive festival buzz—including a reported standing ovation at Annecy—translates into broader family audience turnout. Final figures will hinge on presales and word-of-mouth in the final pre-release window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated"Forgotten Island" Opening Weekend Box Office
19-22m 24%
16-19m 17%
25m+ 14%
22-25m 14%
<13m
12%
13-16m
12%
16-19m
17%
19-22m
24%
22-25m
14%
25m+
14%
19-22m 24%
16-19m 17%
25m+ 14%
22-25m 14%
<13m
12%
13-16m
12%
16-19m
17%
19-22m
24%
22-25m
14%
25m+
14%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Sep 15, 2026, 10:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**DreamWorks Animation’s original “Forgotten Island,” set for wide release September 25, faces a late-September slot with modest awareness for a non-franchise title.** Early tracking from Box Office Pro places domestic opening weekend expectations in the $20–30 million range, aligning with comparable late-September animated releases such as Abominable ($20.6M) and The Lego Ninjago Movie ($20.4M). Market-implied odds reflect this uncertainty, with the 19–22 million bracket holding the highest probability at 23.5 percent amid closely bunched outcomes. Key variables include the effectiveness of the marketing push for an unproven IP drawing on Philippine mythology, potential competition from the Avengers: Endgame Encore re-release, and whether positive festival buzz—including a reported standing ovation at Annecy—translates into broader family audience turnout. Final figures will hinge on presales and word-of-mouth in the final pre-release window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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