NVIDIA B200 rental prices reflect persistent supply constraints from TSMC CoWoS-L packaging and HBM3e memory amid surging AI training and inference demand, even as Blackwell shipments scale in 2026. On-demand rates currently span $3.49–$16.11 per GPU-hour across providers, with medians near $6.25 and spot/community tiers as low as $3.20, driven by hyperscaler premiums versus specialized clouds like Prime Intellect or Vultr. Strong hyperscaler and AI cloud adoption, combined with a multi-million-unit backlog, supports elevated pricing, though expanding capacity and competition are gradually increasing availability. Key upcoming catalysts include further production ramps through year-end, B300/GB300 transitions, and potential Rubin architecture samples that could pressure B200 values later in 2026. Trader consensus weighs these dynamics against sustained enterprise demand for the 180 GB VRAM platform.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$31,918 Vol.
↑ $8.00
48%
↑ $7.50
51%
↓ $5.50
92%
↓ $5.00
78%
↓ $4.50
52%
↓ $4.00
35%
↓ $3.50
16%
$31,918 Vol.
↑ $8.00
48%
↑ $7.50
51%
↓ $5.50
92%
↓ $5.00
78%
↓ $4.50
52%
↓ $4.00
35%
↓ $3.50
16%
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
This market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 10, 2026, 6:35 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
This market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...NVIDIA B200 rental prices reflect persistent supply constraints from TSMC CoWoS-L packaging and HBM3e memory amid surging AI training and inference demand, even as Blackwell shipments scale in 2026. On-demand rates currently span $3.49–$16.11 per GPU-hour across providers, with medians near $6.25 and spot/community tiers as low as $3.20, driven by hyperscaler premiums versus specialized clouds like Prime Intellect or Vultr. Strong hyperscaler and AI cloud adoption, combined with a multi-million-unit backlog, supports elevated pricing, though expanding capacity and competition are gradually increasing availability. Key upcoming catalysts include further production ramps through year-end, B300/GB300 transitions, and potential Rubin architecture samples that could pressure B200 values later in 2026. Trader consensus weighs these dynamics against sustained enterprise demand for the 180 GB VRAM platform.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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