Current B200 rental rates span roughly $3.20–$16 per GPU-hour across spot marketplaces and hyperscalers, with medians near $6–$6.80, as supply constraints from TSMC CoWoS-L packaging persist even as Blackwell production ramps. Trader sentiment clusters around the $5–$6.50 band because expanded neocloud and marketplace capacity has eased spot pricing while sustained AI training and inference demand from hyperscalers keeps guaranteed on-demand rates elevated; differentiation hinges on contract type (interruptible versus committed), provider tier, and whether newer B300 volumes displace B200 allocations by December. Key near-term catalysts include any further HBM cost-driven server price hikes and visible shifts in utilization data that could tilt the balance toward either continued tightness or modest softening.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$6.00-$6.50 22%
$5.50-$6.00 19%
$4.50-$5.00 15%
$5.00-$5.50 13.9%
$60,059 Vol.
$60,059 Vol.
<$3.00
6%
$3.00-$3.50
5%
$3.50-$4.00
4%
$4.00-$4.50
7%
$4.50-$5.00
15%
$5.00-$5.50
14%
$5.50-$6.00
19%
$6.00-$6.50
22%
$6.50-$7.00
9%
$7.00+
9%
$6.00-$6.50 22%
$5.50-$6.00 19%
$4.50-$5.00 15%
$5.00-$5.50 13.9%
$60,059 Vol.
$60,059 Vol.
<$3.00
6%
$3.00-$3.50
5%
$3.50-$4.00
4%
$4.00-$4.50
7%
$4.50-$5.00
15%
$5.00-$5.50
14%
$5.50-$6.00
19%
$6.00-$6.50
22%
$6.50-$7.00
9%
$7.00+
9%
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 10, 2026, 10:14 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current B200 rental rates span roughly $3.20–$16 per GPU-hour across spot marketplaces and hyperscalers, with medians near $6–$6.80, as supply constraints from TSMC CoWoS-L packaging persist even as Blackwell production ramps. Trader sentiment clusters around the $5–$6.50 band because expanded neocloud and marketplace capacity has eased spot pricing while sustained AI training and inference demand from hyperscalers keeps guaranteed on-demand rates elevated; differentiation hinges on contract type (interruptible versus committed), provider tier, and whether newer B300 volumes displace B200 allocations by December. Key near-term catalysts include any further HBM cost-driven server price hikes and visible shifts in utilization data that could tilt the balance toward either continued tightness or modest softening.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions