Trader consensus on H200 rental prices settling in the $4.00–$5.00 band at end-August 2026 reflects the current median on-demand rate of approximately $4.50 per GPU-hour across neocloud and marketplace providers, where most flexible capacity trades. This level has held steady over the past 90 days despite broader AI demand growth, with cheaper spot and community offers clustered below $3.50 and hyperscaler lists remaining structurally higher. Recent verified listings from providers such as Nebius, DigitalOcean, and RunPod reinforce the $4–$4.50 corridor, while limited new supply and ongoing memory-bandwidth advantages versus H100 sustain the modest premium without triggering sharp moves. Near-term resolution leaves little room for last-minute catalysts to shift the distribution materially.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$4.50-$5.00 57%
$4.00-$4.50 30%
<$4.00 14.0%
$5.00-$5.50 8%
$44,996 Vol.
$44,996 Vol.
<$4.00
10%
$4.00-$4.50
23%
$4.50-$5.00
63%
$5.00-$5.50
13%
$5.50-$6.00
2%
$6.00+
1%
$4.50-$5.00 57%
$4.00-$4.50 30%
<$4.00 14.0%
$5.00-$5.50 8%
$44,996 Vol.
$44,996 Vol.
<$4.00
10%
$4.00-$4.50
23%
$4.50-$5.00
63%
$5.00-$5.50
13%
$5.50-$6.00
2%
$6.00+
1%
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 30, 2026, 11:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on H200 rental prices settling in the $4.00–$5.00 band at end-August 2026 reflects the current median on-demand rate of approximately $4.50 per GPU-hour across neocloud and marketplace providers, where most flexible capacity trades. This level has held steady over the past 90 days despite broader AI demand growth, with cheaper spot and community offers clustered below $3.50 and hyperscaler lists remaining structurally higher. Recent verified listings from providers such as Nebius, DigitalOcean, and RunPod reinforce the $4–$4.50 corridor, while limited new supply and ongoing memory-bandwidth advantages versus H100 sustain the modest premium without triggering sharp moves. Near-term resolution leaves little room for last-minute catalysts to shift the distribution materially.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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