**Record 24 nominations for its final season have anchored trader consensus around 2-3 Emmy wins for “Hacks” at 59% implied probability.** The HBO Max comedy’s strong showing across Outstanding Comedy Series, Jean Smart’s lead actress bid, Hannah Einbinder’s supporting nod, directing, writing, and guest categories reflects sustained critical and guild momentum for the departing series. Smart’s near-certain fifth win in her category provides a reliable floor, while historical Emmy patterns of spreading awards among competitors like “Widow’s Bay” and “Shrinking” cap upside and keep 4-5 wins at just 20.5%. Final-round voting closed in late August ahead of the September ceremony, leaving limited room for late momentum shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHow many Emmys will “Hacks” win?
How many Emmys will “Hacks” win?
2-3 59%
4-5 21%
0-1 19.4%
6-7 3.5%
$105,498 Vol.
$105,498 Vol.
Sep 14, 2026
0-1
19%
2-3
59%
4-5
21%
6-7
3%
8-9
<1%
10+
1%
2-3 59%
4-5 21%
0-1 19.4%
6-7 3.5%
$105,498 Vol.
$105,498 Vol.
Sep 14, 2026
0-1
$6,757 Vol.
19%
2-3
$53,378 Vol.
59%
4-5
$28,776 Vol.
21%
6-7
$7,250 Vol.
3%
8-9
$4,998 Vol.
<1%
10+
$4,338 Vol.
1%
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California.
This market will resolve according to the number of Emmys won by "Hacks," or by people for their roles in "Hacks," awarded during the live Primetime Emmy Awards ceremony, expected to be held on September 14, 2026. Awards presented at the Creative Arts Emmy Awards (September 5–6, 2026) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Each award will count once even if it has multiple recipients.
If the Primetime Emmys are partially awarded by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the number of awards won by the specified show up until that point. If, for any reason, no winners are declared by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Record 24 nominations for its final season have anchored trader consensus around 2-3 Emmy wins for “Hacks” at 59% implied probability.** The HBO Max comedy’s strong showing across Outstanding Comedy Series, Jean Smart’s lead actress bid, Hannah Einbinder’s supporting nod, directing, writing, and guest categories reflects sustained critical and guild momentum for the departing series. Smart’s near-certain fifth win in her category provides a reliable floor, while historical Emmy patterns of spreading awards among competitors like “Widow’s Bay” and “Shrinking” cap upside and keep 4-5 wins at just 20.5%. Final-round voting closed in late August ahead of the September ceremony, leaving limited room for late momentum shifts.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California.
This market will resolve according to the number of Emmys won by "Hacks," or by people for their roles in "Hacks," awarded during the live Primetime Emmy Awards ceremony, expected to be held on September 14, 2026. Awards presented at the Creative Arts Emmy Awards (September 5–6, 2026) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Each award will count once even if it has multiple recipients.
If the Primetime Emmys are partially awarded by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the number of awards won by the specified show up until that point. If, for any reason, no winners are declared by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of Emmys won by "Hacks," or by people for their roles in "Hacks," awarded during the live Primetime Emmy Awards ceremony, expected to be held on September 14, 2026. Awards presented at the Creative Arts Emmy Awards (September 5–6, 2026) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Each award will count once even if it has multiple recipients.
If the Primetime Emmys are partially awarded by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the number of awards won by the specified show up until that point. If, for any reason, no winners are declared by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 29, 2026, 7:08 PM ET
Volume
$105,498End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 7:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California.
This market will resolve according to the number of Emmys won by "Hacks," or by people for their roles in "Hacks," awarded during the live Primetime Emmy Awards ceremony, expected to be held on September 14, 2026. Awards presented at the Creative Arts Emmy Awards (September 5–6, 2026) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Each award will count once even if it has multiple recipients.
If the Primetime Emmys are partially awarded by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the number of awards won by the specified show up until that point. If, for any reason, no winners are declared by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Record 24 nominations for its final season have anchored trader consensus around 2-3 Emmy wins for “Hacks” at 59% implied probability.** The HBO Max comedy’s strong showing across Outstanding Comedy Series, Jean Smart’s lead actress bid, Hannah Einbinder’s supporting nod, directing, writing, and guest categories reflects sustained critical and guild momentum for the departing series. Smart’s near-certain fifth win in her category provides a reliable floor, while historical Emmy patterns of spreading awards among competitors like “Widow’s Bay” and “Shrinking” cap upside and keep 4-5 wins at just 20.5%. Final-round voting closed in late August ahead of the September ceremony, leaving limited room for late momentum shifts.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California.
This market will resolve according to the number of Emmys won by "Hacks," or by people for their roles in "Hacks," awarded during the live Primetime Emmy Awards ceremony, expected to be held on September 14, 2026. Awards presented at the Creative Arts Emmy Awards (September 5–6, 2026) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Each award will count once even if it has multiple recipients.
If the Primetime Emmys are partially awarded by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the number of awards won by the specified show up until that point. If, for any reason, no winners are declared by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of Emmys won by "Hacks," or by people for their roles in "Hacks," awarded during the live Primetime Emmy Awards ceremony, expected to be held on September 14, 2026. Awards presented at the Creative Arts Emmy Awards (September 5–6, 2026) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Each award will count once even if it has multiple recipients.
If the Primetime Emmys are partially awarded by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the number of awards won by the specified show up until that point. If, for any reason, no winners are declared by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$105,498End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 7:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Record 24 nominations for its final season have anchored trader consensus around 2-3 Emmy wins for “Hacks” at 59% implied probability.** The HBO Max comedy’s strong showing across Outstanding Comedy Series, Jean Smart’s lead actress bid, Hannah Einbinder’s supporting nod, directing, writing, and guest categories reflects sustained critical and guild momentum for the departing series. Smart’s near-certain fifth win in her category provides a reliable floor, while historical Emmy patterns of spreading awards among competitors like “Widow’s Bay” and “Shrinking” cap upside and keep 4-5 wins at just 20.5%. Final-round voting closed in late August ahead of the September ceremony, leaving limited room for late momentum shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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