The Illinois 2nd congressional district's strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in a D+18 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from multiple forecasters, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Robin Kelly's decision to vacate the seat for a Senate bid created an open race, but Donna Miller secured the nomination in the March 2026 Democratic primary with 40 percent in a crowded field that included Jesse Jackson Jr. and state Sen. Robert Peters. Republican Mike Noack advanced unopposed in his primary. With the general election still months away on November 3, 2026, the wide margin leaves limited room for shifts absent a major scandal, health issue, or unanticipated national political realignment that alters turnout or voter coalitions in this South Side Chicago and suburban district.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIL-02 House Election Winner
IL-02 House Election Winner
$33,429 Vol.
$33,429 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
1%
$33,429 Vol.
$33,429 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$14,332 Vol.
96%
Republican Party
$19,097 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 2nd congressional district's strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in a D+18 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from multiple forecasters, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Robin Kelly's decision to vacate the seat for a Senate bid created an open race, but Donna Miller secured the nomination in the March 2026 Democratic primary with 40 percent in a crowded field that included Jesse Jackson Jr. and state Sen. Robert Peters. Republican Mike Noack advanced unopposed in his primary. With the general election still months away on November 3, 2026, the wide margin leaves limited room for shifts absent a major scandal, health issue, or unanticipated national political realignment that alters turnout or voter coalitions in this South Side Chicago and suburban district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Volume
$33,429End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 2nd congressional district's strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in a D+18 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from multiple forecasters, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Robin Kelly's decision to vacate the seat for a Senate bid created an open race, but Donna Miller secured the nomination in the March 2026 Democratic primary with 40 percent in a crowded field that included Jesse Jackson Jr. and state Sen. Robert Peters. Republican Mike Noack advanced unopposed in his primary. With the general election still months away on November 3, 2026, the wide margin leaves limited room for shifts absent a major scandal, health issue, or unanticipated national political realignment that alters turnout or voter coalitions in this South Side Chicago and suburban district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$33,429End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Illinois 2nd congressional district's strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in a D+18 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from multiple forecasters, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Robin Kelly's decision to vacate the seat for a Senate bid created an open race, but Donna Miller secured the nomination in the March 2026 Democratic primary with 40 percent in a crowded field that included Jesse Jackson Jr. and state Sen. Robert Peters. Republican Mike Noack advanced unopposed in his primary. With the general election still months away on November 3, 2026, the wide margin leaves limited room for shifts absent a major scandal, health issue, or unanticipated national political realignment that alters turnout or voter coalitions in this South Side Chicago and suburban district.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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