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icon for Khamenei # posts August 28 - September 4, 2026?

Khamenei # posts August 28 - September 4, 2026?

icon for Khamenei # posts August 28 - September 4, 2026?

Khamenei # posts August 28 - September 4, 2026?

<5 83.5%

5-9 7%

10-14 3.3%

15-19 1.9%

Polymarket
NEW

<5 83.5%

5-9 7%

10-14 3.3%

15-19 1.9%

Polymarket
NEW

<5

$2,794 Vol.

84%

5-9

$657 Vol.

7%

10-14

$284 Vol.

3%

15-19

$225 Vol.

2%

20-24

$251 Vol.

1%

25-29

$210 Vol.

2%

30-34

$197 Vol.

2%

35-39

$208 Vol.

1%

40-44

$237 Vol.

<1%

45-49

$171 Vol.

<1%

50-54

$242 Vol.

1%

55-59

$255 Vol.

1%

60+

$154 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 28, 12:00 PM ET and September 4, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Mojtaba Khamenei’s official X activity remains tightly constrained by security protocols and a deliberate preference for measured communication.** Since succeeding his father in March 2026, the current Supreme Leader has issued no photographs, videos, or live audio, relying instead on occasional written statements distributed through Telegram channels, state broadcasters, and the leader’s website. The most recent such message, released August 28 for Government Week, followed this established pattern and did not signal any shift toward higher-volume social media output. Associated accounts, including Mojtaba’s official handle and commemorative media channels, have shown only sporadic posting in recent weeks, centered on archival or memorial content tied to the late leader’s observances in mid-August. No diplomatic summits, major military escalations, or domestic policy deadlines fall within the August 28–September 4 window that would normally trigger additional statements. Traders therefore assign an 83.5% probability to fewer than five posts, reflecting the leadership’s consistent low baseline rather than any acute event-driven spike.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 28, 12:00 PM ET and September 4, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$5,885
End Date
Sep 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 28, 12:00 PM ET and September 4, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 28, 12:00 PM ET and September 4, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Mojtaba Khamenei’s official X activity remains tightly constrained by security protocols and a deliberate preference for measured communication.** Since succeeding his father in March 2026, the current Supreme Leader has issued no photographs, videos, or live audio, relying instead on occasional written statements distributed through Telegram channels, state broadcasters, and the leader’s website. The most recent such message, released August 28 for Government Week, followed this established pattern and did not signal any shift toward higher-volume social media output. Associated accounts, including Mojtaba’s official handle and commemorative media channels, have shown only sporadic posting in recent weeks, centered on archival or memorial content tied to the late leader’s observances in mid-August. No diplomatic summits, major military escalations, or domestic policy deadlines fall within the August 28–September 4 window that would normally trigger additional statements. Traders therefore assign an 83.5% probability to fewer than five posts, reflecting the leadership’s consistent low baseline rather than any acute event-driven spike.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 28, 12:00 PM ET and September 4, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$5,885
End Date
Sep 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 28, 12:00 PM ET and September 4, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Khamenei # posts August 28 - September 4, 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 13 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "<5" at 84%, followed by "5-9" at 7%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 84¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 84% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Khamenei # posts August 28 - September 4, 2026?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 25, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Khamenei # posts August 28 - September 4, 2026?," browse the 13 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Khamenei # posts August 28 - September 4, 2026?" is "<5" at 84%, meaning the market assigns a 84% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "5-9" at 7%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Khamenei # posts August 28 - September 4, 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.