**Otzma Yehudit and Noam are unlikely to share a list for the October 2026 Knesset election, as reflected in the strong trader consensus favoring “No.”** Itamar Ben-Gvir’s Otzma Yehudit has repeatedly ruled out joint runs with Bezalel Smotrich’s Religious Zionism (RZP) party, which has historically included Noam as a faction or technical partner. Ben-Gvir cited differing voter bases and seat calculations, stating in July 2026 and again in late August that the parties would run separately under any circumstances, with no meetings or indirect talks planned. Recent polls show Otzma Yehudit clearing the threshold comfortably on its own (typically 6–10 seats) while Noam polls near or below 0.3% and struggles independently after rebranding as “Noam for Israel.” Netanyahu’s push for right-wing unity has focused on other pairings—such as Smotrich with Ofer Winter’s new Amcha Yisrael party or Moshe Feiglin—rather than reviving an Otzma-Noam slate. Past joint efforts (2021–2022) were technical blocs driven by threshold concerns that later dissolved amid disputes over candidate placement and ideology. With Otzma’s independent strength and the absence of any recent agreement or deadline-driven merger talks involving Noam specifically, traders see little prospect of the two parties aligning on one list before candidate submissions close.