The Knesset’s dissolution on July 17, 2026, after completing a full four-year term—the first since 1988—locked in the October 27 election date under Israeli law. Coalition leaders and the Knesset legal adviser explicitly rejected earlier dissolution proposals in July, confirming that the vote would proceed on the statutory schedule rather than advance by weeks. This stability has held through August despite ongoing campaign activity, including Likud primaries, new party formations such as Amcha Yisrael, and shifting polls. Postponement would require an 80-MK supermajority citing extraordinary circumstances, with no such legislative effort or security emergency reported. The fixed timeline and absence of procedural disruption underpin the strong trader consensus that the election will occur as scheduled.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated93% chance
NEW
NEW
Oct 27, 2026
93% chance
NEW
NEW
Oct 27, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026.
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The Knesset’s dissolution on July 17, 2026, after completing a full four-year term—the first since 1988—locked in the October 27 election date under Israeli law. Coalition leaders and the Knesset legal adviser explicitly rejected earlier dissolution proposals in July, confirming that the vote would proceed on the statutory schedule rather than advance by weeks. This stability has held through August despite ongoing campaign activity, including Likud primaries, new party formations such as Amcha Yisrael, and shifting polls. Postponement would require an 80-MK supermajority citing extraordinary circumstances, with no such legislative effort or security emergency reported. The fixed timeline and absence of procedural disruption underpin the strong trader consensus that the election will occur as scheduled.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026.
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Jul 20, 2026, 7:43 PM ET
Volume
$3,654End Date
Oct 27, 2026Market Opened
Jul 20, 2026, 7:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026.
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The Knesset’s dissolution on July 17, 2026, after completing a full four-year term—the first since 1988—locked in the October 27 election date under Israeli law. Coalition leaders and the Knesset legal adviser explicitly rejected earlier dissolution proposals in July, confirming that the vote would proceed on the statutory schedule rather than advance by weeks. This stability has held through August despite ongoing campaign activity, including Likud primaries, new party formations such as Amcha Yisrael, and shifting polls. Postponement would require an 80-MK supermajority citing extraordinary circumstances, with no such legislative effort or security emergency reported. The fixed timeline and absence of procedural disruption underpin the strong trader consensus that the election will occur as scheduled.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026.
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$3,654End Date
Oct 27, 2026Market Opened
Jul 20, 2026, 7:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Knesset’s dissolution on July 17, 2026, after completing a full four-year term—the first since 1988—locked in the October 27 election date under Israeli law. Coalition leaders and the Knesset legal adviser explicitly rejected earlier dissolution proposals in July, confirming that the vote would proceed on the statutory schedule rather than advance by weeks. This stability has held through August despite ongoing campaign activity, including Likud primaries, new party formations such as Amcha Yisrael, and shifting polls. Postponement would require an 80-MK supermajority citing extraordinary circumstances, with no such legislative effort or security emergency reported. The fixed timeline and absence of procedural disruption underpin the strong trader consensus that the election will occur as scheduled.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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