Incumbent Democrat Sharice Davids secured her party's nomination for Kansas's 3rd congressional district on August 4 with 83% of the primary vote, setting up a November 3 general election matchup against Republican Eric Jenkins, who won his primary with 79%. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Democratic based on Davids' consistent double-digit victories in prior cycles, including an 11-point margin in 2024 despite the district's modest Republican tilt in presidential voting. The Kansas City-area seat favors Democrats due to its suburban and urban demographics in Johnson and Wyandotte counties. Davids holds a substantial fundraising lead exceeding $2.9 million, with no public general-election polling yet available to alter the consensus. Trader odds reflect these structural and incumbency advantages heading into the fall campaign.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKS-03 House Election Winner
KS-03 House Election Winner
$21,153 Vol.
$21,153 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
90%
Republican Party
11%
$21,153 Vol.
$21,153 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$6,549 Vol.
90%
Republican Party
$14,604 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Sharice Davids secured her party's nomination for Kansas's 3rd congressional district on August 4 with 83% of the primary vote, setting up a November 3 general election matchup against Republican Eric Jenkins, who won his primary with 79%. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Democratic based on Davids' consistent double-digit victories in prior cycles, including an 11-point margin in 2024 despite the district's modest Republican tilt in presidential voting. The Kansas City-area seat favors Democrats due to its suburban and urban demographics in Johnson and Wyandotte counties. Davids holds a substantial fundraising lead exceeding $2.9 million, with no public general-election polling yet available to alter the consensus. Trader odds reflect these structural and incumbency advantages heading into the fall campaign.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$21,153End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Sharice Davids secured her party's nomination for Kansas's 3rd congressional district on August 4 with 83% of the primary vote, setting up a November 3 general election matchup against Republican Eric Jenkins, who won his primary with 79%. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Democratic based on Davids' consistent double-digit victories in prior cycles, including an 11-point margin in 2024 despite the district's modest Republican tilt in presidential voting. The Kansas City-area seat favors Democrats due to its suburban and urban demographics in Johnson and Wyandotte counties. Davids holds a substantial fundraising lead exceeding $2.9 million, with no public general-election polling yet available to alter the consensus. Trader odds reflect these structural and incumbency advantages heading into the fall campaign.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$21,153End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Sharice Davids secured her party's nomination for Kansas's 3rd congressional district on August 4 with 83% of the primary vote, setting up a November 3 general election matchup against Republican Eric Jenkins, who won his primary with 79%. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Democratic based on Davids' consistent double-digit victories in prior cycles, including an 11-point margin in 2024 despite the district's modest Republican tilt in presidential voting. The Kansas City-area seat favors Democrats due to its suburban and urban demographics in Johnson and Wyandotte counties. Davids holds a substantial fundraising lead exceeding $2.9 million, with no public general-election polling yet available to alter the consensus. Trader odds reflect these structural and incumbency advantages heading into the fall campaign.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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