**Recent sales data and sustained downward price momentum have driven overwhelming trader consensus toward "Under" at 96.9% implied probability.** The top Mega Dragonite ex variants from the 2026 Ascended Heroes set—particularly the hyper rares and special illustration rares—have seen raw NM prices settle in the $200–$670 range on TCGPlayer and eBay as of late August, well below the $705.60 threshold, with documented declines of 3–13% over the past week and steeper drops over 30–90 days. Increased supply from ongoing openings, cooling initial hype, and stable but unspectacular competitive play have kept secondary-market velocity high without pushing values upward. With the resolution just days away on August 31, no major catalysts like new tournament dominance or grading surges appear imminent. A realistic upset would require an abrupt viral resurgence or unexpected meta shift boosting demand overnight, but current liquidity trends and recent comps make that scenario highly unlikely.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMega Dragonite ex Price Over/Under $705.60 on August 31?
Mega Dragonite ex Price Over/Under $705.60 on August 31?
Over
5% chance
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
Over
5% chance
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Over” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Dragonite ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 290/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $705.60.
This market will resolve to “Under” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Dragonite ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 290/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $705.60.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Dragonite ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 290/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $705.60.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).**Recent sales data and sustained downward price momentum have driven overwhelming trader consensus toward "Under" at 96.9% implied probability.** The top Mega Dragonite ex variants from the 2026 Ascended Heroes set—particularly the hyper rares and special illustration rares—have seen raw NM prices settle in the $200–$670 range on TCGPlayer and eBay as of late August, well below the $705.60 threshold, with documented declines of 3–13% over the past week and steeper drops over 30–90 days. Increased supply from ongoing openings, cooling initial hype, and stable but unspectacular competitive play have kept secondary-market velocity high without pushing values upward. With the resolution just days away on August 31, no major catalysts like new tournament dominance or grading surges appear imminent. A realistic upset would require an abrupt viral resurgence or unexpected meta shift boosting demand overnight, but current liquidity trends and recent comps make that scenario highly unlikely.
This market will resolve to “Over” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Dragonite ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 290/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $705.60.
This market will resolve to “Under” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Dragonite ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 290/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $705.60.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Dragonite ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 290/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $705.60.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
This market will resolve to “Under” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Dragonite ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 290/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $705.60.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Dragonite ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 290/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $705.60.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
Market Opened: Aug 14, 2026, 3:40 PM ET
Volume
$1,514End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 3:40 PM ETResolution Source
https://app.getcollectr.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Over” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Dragonite ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 290/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $705.60.
This market will resolve to “Under” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Dragonite ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 290/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $705.60.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Dragonite ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 290/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $705.60.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).**Recent sales data and sustained downward price momentum have driven overwhelming trader consensus toward "Under" at 96.9% implied probability.** The top Mega Dragonite ex variants from the 2026 Ascended Heroes set—particularly the hyper rares and special illustration rares—have seen raw NM prices settle in the $200–$670 range on TCGPlayer and eBay as of late August, well below the $705.60 threshold, with documented declines of 3–13% over the past week and steeper drops over 30–90 days. Increased supply from ongoing openings, cooling initial hype, and stable but unspectacular competitive play have kept secondary-market velocity high without pushing values upward. With the resolution just days away on August 31, no major catalysts like new tournament dominance or grading surges appear imminent. A realistic upset would require an abrupt viral resurgence or unexpected meta shift boosting demand overnight, but current liquidity trends and recent comps make that scenario highly unlikely.
This market will resolve to “Over” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Dragonite ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 290/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $705.60.
This market will resolve to “Under” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Dragonite ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 290/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $705.60.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Dragonite ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 290/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $705.60.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
This market will resolve to “Under” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Dragonite ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 290/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $705.60.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Dragonite ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 290/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $705.60.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
Volume
$1,514End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 3:40 PM ETResolution Source
https://app.getcollectr.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...**Recent sales data and sustained downward price momentum have driven overwhelming trader consensus toward "Under" at 96.9% implied probability.** The top Mega Dragonite ex variants from the 2026 Ascended Heroes set—particularly the hyper rares and special illustration rares—have seen raw NM prices settle in the $200–$670 range on TCGPlayer and eBay as of late August, well below the $705.60 threshold, with documented declines of 3–13% over the past week and steeper drops over 30–90 days. Increased supply from ongoing openings, cooling initial hype, and stable but unspectacular competitive play have kept secondary-market velocity high without pushing values upward. With the resolution just days away on August 31, no major catalysts like new tournament dominance or grading surges appear imminent. A realistic upset would require an abrupt viral resurgence or unexpected meta shift boosting demand overnight, but current liquidity trends and recent comps make that scenario highly unlikely.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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