**Current trader consensus heavily favors the "Under" outcome at 94.5% implied probability because the Mega Gengar ex Special Illustration Rare (#284) from Ascended Heroes has been in steady decline on the secondary market.** Raw near-mint copies now trade between roughly $975 and $1,055, down 8–23% over the past 30 days after earlier post-release highs above $1,400. With only days remaining until the August 31 snapshot and no major catalysts such as new competitive meta shifts, grading surges, or viral collector demand on the immediate horizon, the downward trajectory looks likely to hold. A realistic upside scenario would require an abrupt spike in buying interest or positive news that reverses the recent softening, though historical patterns for similar chase cards suggest such reversals are uncommon this close to resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMega Gengar ex Price Over/Under $1,118.76 on August 31?
Mega Gengar ex Price Over/Under $1,118.76 on August 31?
Over
6% chance
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
Over
6% chance
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Over” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $1,118.76.
This market will resolve to “Under” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $1,118.76.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $1,118.76.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).**Current trader consensus heavily favors the "Under" outcome at 94.5% implied probability because the Mega Gengar ex Special Illustration Rare (#284) from Ascended Heroes has been in steady decline on the secondary market.** Raw near-mint copies now trade between roughly $975 and $1,055, down 8–23% over the past 30 days after earlier post-release highs above $1,400. With only days remaining until the August 31 snapshot and no major catalysts such as new competitive meta shifts, grading surges, or viral collector demand on the immediate horizon, the downward trajectory looks likely to hold. A realistic upside scenario would require an abrupt spike in buying interest or positive news that reverses the recent softening, though historical patterns for similar chase cards suggest such reversals are uncommon this close to resolution.
This market will resolve to “Over” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $1,118.76.
This market will resolve to “Under” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $1,118.76.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $1,118.76.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
This market will resolve to “Under” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $1,118.76.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $1,118.76.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
Market Opened: Aug 14, 2026, 3:40 PM ET
Volume
$3,121End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 3:40 PM ETResolution Source
https://app.getcollectr.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Over” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $1,118.76.
This market will resolve to “Under” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $1,118.76.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $1,118.76.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).**Current trader consensus heavily favors the "Under" outcome at 94.5% implied probability because the Mega Gengar ex Special Illustration Rare (#284) from Ascended Heroes has been in steady decline on the secondary market.** Raw near-mint copies now trade between roughly $975 and $1,055, down 8–23% over the past 30 days after earlier post-release highs above $1,400. With only days remaining until the August 31 snapshot and no major catalysts such as new competitive meta shifts, grading surges, or viral collector demand on the immediate horizon, the downward trajectory looks likely to hold. A realistic upside scenario would require an abrupt spike in buying interest or positive news that reverses the recent softening, though historical patterns for similar chase cards suggest such reversals are uncommon this close to resolution.
This market will resolve to “Over” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $1,118.76.
This market will resolve to “Under” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $1,118.76.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $1,118.76.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
This market will resolve to “Under” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $1,118.76.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $1,118.76.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
Volume
$3,121End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 3:40 PM ETResolution Source
https://app.getcollectr.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...**Current trader consensus heavily favors the "Under" outcome at 94.5% implied probability because the Mega Gengar ex Special Illustration Rare (#284) from Ascended Heroes has been in steady decline on the secondary market.** Raw near-mint copies now trade between roughly $975 and $1,055, down 8–23% over the past 30 days after earlier post-release highs above $1,400. With only days remaining until the August 31 snapshot and no major catalysts such as new competitive meta shifts, grading surges, or viral collector demand on the immediate horizon, the downward trajectory looks likely to hold. A realistic upside scenario would require an abrupt spike in buying interest or positive news that reverses the recent softening, though historical patterns for similar chase cards suggest such reversals are uncommon this close to resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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