Eli Savit secured the Democratic nomination at the party's August 2026 convention after prevailing over other contenders, positioning him as the frontrunner in this open-seat race to succeed term-limited incumbent Dana Nessel. Doug Lloyd emerged as the Republican nominee from his party's earlier convention, setting up a general election matchup on November 3 between two sitting county prosecutors. Trader consensus reflects Savit's stronger implied probability amid Michigan's recent Democratic performance in statewide contests, though the contest remains competitive with minor-party candidates on the ballot and potential shifts from broader turnout patterns or late-cycle developments. Recent candidate events, including Savit's September appearances highlighting enforcement priorities, have not materially altered positioning ahead of the vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Eli Savit (D)
67%

Doug Lloyd (R)
30%

Eli Savit (D)
67%

Doug Lloyd (R)
30%
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 1:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Eli Savit secured the Democratic nomination at the party's August 2026 convention after prevailing over other contenders, positioning him as the frontrunner in this open-seat race to succeed term-limited incumbent Dana Nessel. Doug Lloyd emerged as the Republican nominee from his party's earlier convention, setting up a general election matchup on November 3 between two sitting county prosecutors. Trader consensus reflects Savit's stronger implied probability amid Michigan's recent Democratic performance in statewide contests, though the contest remains competitive with minor-party candidates on the ballot and potential shifts from broader turnout patterns or late-cycle developments. Recent candidate events, including Savit's September appearances highlighting enforcement priorities, have not materially altered positioning ahead of the vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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